Dodgers vs. Pirates Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/9/2022

by | May 9, 2022

Freddie Freeman, batting .323 this season, leads the Los Angeles Dodgers (19-7) into a matchup with one of the league’s other top hitters, Ke’Bryan Hayes (.326 AVG) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (11-15). Freeman and the Dodgers are -245 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup at PNC Park, beginning at 6:35 PM ET. Julio Urias will get the ball for Los Angeles while Pittsburgh counter with Jose Quintana.

Dodgers vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Dodgers vs Pirates Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Dodgers -245 +201 7.5 -102 -118 -1.5 -143 +120

Computer Predictions for Dodgers vs. Pirates

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+201) and Over (7.5)

Dodgers vs. Pirates Game Info

  • Los Angeles Dodgers probable starting pitcher: Julio Urías
  • Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: José Quintana
  • Game Day: Monday, May 9, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:35 PM ET
  • Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • Stadium: PNC Park

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Urías Quintana
5 GS 5
2-1 W-L 0-1
1.87 ERA 3.38
24.0 IP 24.0
8 BB 9
19 SO 20

Dodgers Starter Julio Urías

  • Urias (2-1 with a 1.87 ERA and 19 strikeouts in 24 innings pitched) makes the start for the Dodgers, his sixth of the season.
  • His last appearance came on Wednesday against the San Francisco Giants, when the left-hander tossed six scoreless innings while giving up four hits.
  • The 25-year-old has amassed an ERA of 1.87, with 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings, in five games this season. Opponents are hitting .165 against him.
  • Urías is looking to register his third straight quality start in this matchup.
  • Urías is aiming for his fifth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.2 frames per appearance on the hill.
  • He meets a Pirates offense that ranks 22nd in the league with 101 runs while batting .239 as a squad. It has a collective .361 slugging percentage (19th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 20 home runs (23rd in MLB).

Pirates Starter José Quintana

  • The Pirates will hand the ball to Quintana (0-1) for his sixth start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed five innings while giving up two earned runs on four hits in a matchup with the Detroit Tigers.
  • The 33-year-old has pitched in five games this season with an ERA of 3.38 and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .231.
  • In five starts this season, Quintana has not yet earned a quality start.
  • Quintana has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • The Dodgers rank third in MLB with 134 runs scored this season. They have a .239 batting average this campaign with 25 home runs (14th in the league).

Dodgers Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Dodgers have been favored 28 times and won 19, or 67.9%, of those games.
  • Los Angeles has a record of 4-1 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -245 on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 71% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.
  • Los Angeles and its opponents have gone over the total this season in nine of their 28 opportunities.
  • The Dodgers have an ATS record of 19-9-0 in 28 games with a spread this season.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Pirates have won in eight, or 38.1%, of the 21 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Pittsburgh has been listed as an underdog of +201 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
  • The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 33.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 12 of their 26 opportunities.
  • The Pirates are 14-12-0 against the spread in their 26 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Dodgers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Mookie Betts has homered five times this season, the highest mark on the Dodgers, while hitting .263 with 13 RBI.
  • Of all hitters in the majors, Betts’ home run total places him 28th, and his RBI tally puts him 63rd.
  • Betts carries a nine-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is batting .350 with a double, three home runs, two walks and eight RBI.
  • Freeman has a club-best .323 batting average.
  • Freeman is 71st in homers in baseball, and 63rd in RBI.
  • Freeman enters this matchup looking for his fifth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .389 with four doubles, a triple, three walks and three RBI.
  • Trea Turner has accumulated a team-high 21 runs batted in.
  • Max Muncy is hitting .138 with three doubles, three home runs and 22 walks.
Mookie Betts 25 .263 .357 .444 5 13 26
Freddie Freeman 26 .323 .400 .525 3 13 32
Trea Turner 26 .250 .306 .350 1 21 25
Max Muncy 25 .138 .330 .288 3 11 11
Will Smith 20 .231 .342 .369 2 13 15

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Ben Gamel has driven in a team-leading 13 runs batted in.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Gamel’s home run total ranks 116th and his RBI tally is 63rd.
  • Hayes has a club-leading .326 batting average.
  • Hayes is 289th overall in homers and 184th in RBI this season.
  • Daniel Vogelbach has four home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
  • Bryan Reynolds paces the Pirates with four home runs.
Ben Gamel 26 .296 .367 .457 2 13 24
Ke’Bryan Hayes 24 .326 .404 .407 0 7 28
Daniel Vogelbach 22 .259 .315 .457 4 11 21
Bryan Reynolds 24 .222 .327 .400 4 6 20
Michael Chavis 22 .254 .268 .448 3 12 17

Betting Tips for Dodgers vs. Pirates

Our best bet is the Pirates on the moneyline at +201 after analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 7.5 runs.

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