Week 6 of the 2019 NFL season is full of exciting matchups. It started with the Seahawks’ 30-29 victory over the Rams on Thursday Night Football. Sunday brings 13 games and more than half of those encounters should see a thrilling battle.
In seven matchups the spread is lower than 4.5 points. Likewise, three teams are listed as double-digit favorites – New England at Washington, Philadelphia against New York Jets, and Kansas City versus Indianapolis.
With all tight games on a horizon, there should be a value for the bettors who like to take teasers. Hereof, we bring you the best games for your Sunday NFL 7-point teaser.
We start with the AFC North clash at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh where the Steelers welcome the Baltimore Ravens as 3.5-point dogs. The Ravens are 4-4 SU and 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight meetings with the Steelers. However, just one of those five ATS wins came by more than ten points.
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The Steelers’ offense is banged up, but the Ravens’ defense is not playing well this year. Baltimore is surrendering 25.0 points per game (23rd in the NFL) on 395.5 total yards (27th). Pittsburgh is allowing 22.0 points per contest (13th) on 375.2 total yards (19th).
However, the Steelers know they have to slow down the Ravens’ ground game that is racking up 205.8 yards per game (1st in the NFL). They will be highly motivated to beat the Ravens in front of the home fans. In that case, both teams will be 2-3 on the season.
Therefore, I think the Steelers will keep it close at Heinz Field, and even if they lose to the Ravens, I believe they won’t be blown away. Pittsburgh is 12-4-2 ATS in its last 18 outings at home as an out-of-towner. Take the hosts as 10.5-point underdogs.
Our next game will take place at NRG Stadium in Houston where the Texans host the Atlanta Falcons as 4-point favorites. Since 2013, these two teams have met each other four times, and each team has been successful at home. Both Texans’ victories came by fewer than eight points.
While the Texans are 2-2 on the season, the Falcons are 1-3 and another loss could set them in dire straits. Atlanta is just 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS in its last seven games on the road. Four of those five losses came by 12 or more points.
Still, I think the Falcons will keep it close at Houston with so much on the table. The Texans are 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS in their previous five showings at NRG Stadium, failing to score more than 21 points in that span. Also, Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last five games at home when listed as a fave of 4 or fewer points.
The Texans are allowing 19.5 points per game (10th in the NFL). Still, their pass defense is surrendering 259.0 yards per outing (20th). The Falcons will have a chance against the Texans’ secondary, and Matt Ryan and the Falcons’ offensive line will a key factor.
Ryan has tossed for 1325 yards, eight touchdowns, and six interceptions thus far. However, the Falcons are scoring just 17.5 points per game (26th), despite racking up 382.8 total yards per contest (12th).
On the other side, the Texans are scoring 19.5 points (22nd) on 329.2 total yards per outing (also 22nd), so I don’t think they are capable of beating the Falcons by 12 or more points.
If you want to take a three-game 7-point teaser, we suggest you add the Patriots as 8.5 favorites. Although it’s not smart to tease massive favorites, I don’t see how the Redskins will lose by a single-digit margin.
Their ground game is the second-worst in the NFL, while the Redskins will start Colt McCoy under center. McCoy entered the season as a third-string quarterback. Now, he’ll meet the best defense in the league. You can find out our prediction for the clash between New England and Washington here.
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