It’s another loaded Sunday football, as the NFL season goes on with Week 8 matchups. The things are heating up, and the vast majority of today’s contests look pretty tough to wager on. Still, a few games can be used in a 7-point teaser, so let’s take a closer look.
First, I would like to tease the San Francisco 49ers and take them as 2.5-point road favorites against the Washington Redskins. I’m pretty sure the 49ers will win this clash, but I’m not sure they will cover a 9.5-point spread.
The 49ers are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS on the season, but they are only 6-4 SU and 2-8 ATS in the previous ten outings as favorites of three or more points. Still, they are enjoying a wonderful season, and I don’t see how the hapless Redskins will cope with their tremendous defense.
The Niners are surrendering 12.8 points on 237.4 total yards per game (both 2nd in the NFL). Likewise, they are scoring 29.4 points in a return (3rd), while the Niners’ ground game is the 2nd-best in the NFL with 179.8 yards per outing.
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On the other side, the Redskins are scoring just 15.0 points per game (30th). They are allowing 27.8 points in a return (28th), and the Redskins’ run defense is also 28th in the NFL with 134.0 yards allowed per contest.
Furthermore, the Redskins are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall and 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS in their last seven tilts at home. Still, the Redskins covered in six of their last nine showings as double-digit dogs.
Even if they somehow stay close, the Redskins shouldn’t be able to pull off an upset. I believe the 49ers will win by at least a field goal. San Francisco is 4-1 SU and 3-1-1 ATS in its last five encounters with the Redskins.
Second, I would tease the Los Angeles Chargers and take them as 9-point road dogs against the Tennessee Titans. Both teams are in a must-win situation after losing four of their first six games. Also, they are poor against the spread. The Chargers are 1-4-1 ATS, while the Titans are 2-4 ATS.
Therefore, I expect to see a tight clash that could easily go either way down the stretch. Each of these two teams has some serious problems on the offensive end. The Chargers’ ground game has been terrible lately, as well as the Titans’ passing game.
Tennessee will change its starting quarterback, benching Marcus Mariota and replacing him with Ryan Tannehill. Although Tannehill is an experienced signal-caller, I don’t think he will transform this Titans offense into a lethal one.
On the other side, Philip Rivers has tossed for 1785 yards and eight touchdowns thus far. However, he’s already made eight turnovers. The Chargers are racking up only 80.2 rushing yards per game (27th in the NFL), while Melvin Gordon is trying to build up his form after missing more than two months of action.
This should be a defensive showdown. The Titans are allowing 15.3 points per game (5th), while the Chargers are surrendering 19.7 points per contest (10th). It’s another reason why I think the Titans won’t beat the Chargers by ten or more points.
The Chargers are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 outings on the road. Likewise, they are 6-1 ATS in their previous seven showings as underdogs of nine or more points. The Titans are 1-5 ATS in their last six games at home and 0-3 ATS in their previous three outings as favorites of nine or more points.
The Titans are only 1-10 SU and 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings with the Chargers. Also, the Titans are 1-3 SU and 0-3-1 ATS in their previous four home encounters with the Chargers.
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