The Chicago Bears visit the Washington Redskins in Monday Night Football, closing down Week 3 of the 2019 NFL season. The Bears are listed as 4-point favorites with the total at 41.0 points. Chicago is 1-1 on the season, while the Redskins have lost both their games so far.
The Bears escaped with a 16-14 victory at Denver last week, bouncing back from a 10-3 defeat to Green Bay in Week 1. Their defense is doing a great job, building on the last season’s excellent performance. However, the Bears’ offense was awful in the previous two weeks.
Mitch Trubisky is still looking for his first touchdown pass of the season. He tossed for 228 yards and a pick against the Packers. In Week 2, Trubisky threw for just 120 yards, completing 16 of his 27 passing attempts. The meeting with the Redskins is a nice opportunity for Mitch to finally show his talent.
The line on his passing yards has been set at 233.5, and Trubisky had just six games with 234+ yards in 2018. Still, the Redskins allowed 313 passing yards to Carson Wentz in Week 1 and 269 yards to Dak Prescott in Week 2.
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While taking Trubisky in the over could be a risky wager, picking the Bears to score two or more touchdowns seems like a sure shot. The price is not tempting at -333, so consider taking the Bears to score at least three touchdowns at -110.
Interestingly, the Bears have scored just a TD thus far. The Redskins have allowed four touchdowns to the Cowboys and Eagles each, and their defense looked poor, allowing 459.0 total yards per game. Therefore, the Bears should be able to score at least three.
Chicago’s defense should allow its offense a lot of opportunities here. I expect the Bears’ to exploit the Redskins flaws on the defensive end and run a lot, so keep your eyes on David Montgomery and Tarik Cohen.
Montgomery scored the touchdown at the Broncos and has 24 totes for 80 yards. Cohen has four carries for 18 yards, but he added ten receptions for 56 yards. Last year, Cohen tallied eight touchdowns. He’s set at +187 odds to score anytime against the Redskins, while the price on Montgomery is +120.
When it comes to the Redskins, their ground game was terrible over the first two weeks. They are averaging paltry 37.5 rushing yards per contest. Considering the Bears’ run defense, the Redskins will be happy if they replicate those numbers.
Adrian Peterson is leading the backfield with 25 yards on ten carries. Rookie Derrius Guice is sidelined with a knee injury, so the Redskins will have to rely on their passing game a lot.
Case Keenum has tossed for 601 yards and five touchdowns so far. He’s still without an interception, so Keenum looks like a hot pick here. I’m backing him to throw a pick at -200 odds whereas Keenum had 15 interceptions in 16 starts last season.
Likewise, Keenum recorded 33 interceptions in his last 41 starts, while Chicago led the league last season with 27 intercepted passes. Keenum will have to risk a lot against the Bears and will be under huge pressure.
Rookie Terry McLaurin is leading the Redskins’ receiving corps. He has recorded ten receptions for 187 yards and a couple of touchdowns. Now, McLaurin will face off against one of the best defenses in the league, so I’m not sure he’ll surpass a 53.5-yard mark.
Although they are playing at home, the Redskins will have a mountain to climb tonight. If the Bears find their offensive flow, the hosts will be in big trouble. Hereof, consider wagering on the Bears to win both halves at +200 odds.
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