The NFC North showdown from Lambeau Field in Green Bay will close down Week 6 of the 2019 NFL season. The Detroit Lions will take on the Green Bay Packers, looking for their fifth straight victory in head-to-head meetings. Green Bay is a 3.5-point fave with a total of 45.5 points.
Lions at Packers – Betting Trends
It might sound you strange, but the Lions are 4-0 SU and ATS in their last four meetings with the Packers. In this decade, the Lions reached the playoffs only three times, losing in the wild-card game on all three occasions.
They lost 17 of their previous 20 outings at Lambeau Field, covering the spread seven times in the process. The Lions are 9-21 SU and 13-17 ATS in their previous 30 meetings with the Packers. Likewise, they are 3-16 SU and 5-14 ATS in the last 19 encounters with Green Bay as underdogs.
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Detroit is 8-11-1 SU and 12-8 ATS in its last 20 games overall and 4-6-1 SU and 7-4 ATS in its last 11 outings on the road. The Lions are 7-6 SU and 6-6-1 ATS in their previous 13 road matchups with the NFC North. Also, they are 6-1 SU and ATS in the last seven showings after a bye.
On the other side, the Packers are 9-10-1 SU and 10-9-1 ATS in their last 20 contests overall. They are 12-7-1 SU and 10-10 ATS in the last 20 outings at home and 6-3-1 SU and 6-4 ATS in the previous ten home meetings with the NFC North.
The Packers are 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games when listed as favorites of four or fewer points. Likewise, they are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS in the previous four outings at Lambeau Field after losing their previous game at home.
Davante Adams is leading the Packers’ receiving corps this season, tallying 25 receptions for 378 yards. However, Adams is still searching for his first TD of the season. He missed the clash in Dallas last week due to a toe injury, and he also missed Saturday’s practice.
If he suits up for tonight’s game, take Adams to score anytime. In case that Adams stays sidelined, look after Jimmy Graham at +200 odds. Graham has scored two touchdowns this season. He will be the main target in the end zone if Adams doesn’t play.
Also, Aaron Jones is playing in a tremendous form. The third-year RB has scored in four straight games. Last week, Jones had 182 yards of scrimmage and four rushing touchdowns in a 34-24 win at Dallas. He’s set at -163 odds to score anytime, while the price on Jones to score the first TD is +500.
Kenny Golladay has scored four touchdowns for the Lions so far. The third-year WR scored twice in a 34-30 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 4. He’s leading the way for the Lions with 19 receptions on 36 targets, and the price on Golladay to score anytime against Green Bay is +120.
Interestingly, the line on the passing yards is identical for both quarterbacks at 252.5. Aaron Rodgers has surpassed this mark only once this season. He’s 13-5 against the Lions, tossing for 251.4 yards per contest. Detroit’s pass defense is 30th in the NFL with 280.8 yards allowed per game.
On the other side, Matthew Stafford has thrown for more than 252 yards on two occasions this season. He’s 7-10 against the Packers in his career, throwing for 289.5 yards per outing. The Packers’ pass defense is 14th in the NFL with 238.6 yards allowed per contest.
If you want to wager on touchdown passes, the line is set at 1.5 on both Rodgers and Stafford. The Packers have allowed 12 touchdowns thus far, half of them through the air and half on the ground. The Lions surrendered four rushing TD and five through the air.
While Stafford has thrown for two or more touchdowns in three of his four outings, Rodgers has done it in two of his five starts. Still, Rodgers has 37 touchdown passes in 18 games against the Lions. Stafford has 34 TD passes in 17 games versus Green Bay.
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