Cardinals vs. Pirates Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/22/2022

by | May 22, 2022

After a four-hit game last time out, Paul Goldschmidt leads the St. Louis Cardinals (22-18) as -151 favorites against the Pittsburgh Pirates (16-23). Action gets underway from PNC Park at 11:35 AM ET on Sunday. St. Louis’ Steven Matz gets the start, and he’ll go against Pittsburgh’s Bryse Wilson.

Cardinals vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Cardinals vs Pirates Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Cardinals -151 +130 9 -116 -104 -1.5 +108 -129

Computer Predictions for Cardinals vs. Pirates

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+130) and Under (9)

Cardinals vs. Pirates Game Info

  • St. Louis Cardinals probable starting pitcher: Steven Matz
  • Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: Bryse Wilson
  • Game Day: Sunday, May 22, 2022
  • Game Time: 11:35 AM ET
  • Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • Stadium: PNC Park

St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Matz Wilson
8 GS 4
3-3 W-L 0-2
6.03 ERA 5.67
37.1 IP 27.0
8 BB 12
44 SO 22

Cardinals Starter Steven Matz

  • Matz (3-3 with a 6.03 ERA and 44 strikeouts in 37 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Cardinals, his ninth of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last time out came on Tuesday against the New York Mets, when he went five innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up three hits.
  • The 30-year-old has a 6.03 ERA and 10.6 strikeouts per nine innings across eight games this season, while giving up a batting average of .284 to opposing hitters.
  • Matz heads into the matchup with two quality starts under his belt this season.
  • Matz will look to pitch five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 4.2 innings per outing.
  • He will face a Pirates offense that ranks 27th in MLB with 283 total hits (on a .224 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .348 (27th in MLB) with 30 total home runs (26th in MLB).
  • In three innings over one appearance against the Pirates this season, Matz has a 21.00 ERA and a 3.333 WHIP while his opponents are hitting .500.

Pirates Starter Bryse Wilson

  • Wilson (0-2) will take the mound for the Pirates, his fifth start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched out of the bullpen on Monday, when he threw 5 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs while allowing eight hits to the Chicago Cubs.
  • The 24-year-old has an ERA of 5.67, a 1.833 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.593 in seven games this season.
  • In four starts, Wilson has pitched through or past the fifth inning one time. He has a season average of 3.3 frames per outing.
  • The Cardinals rank third in MLB with a .250 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 13th in the league (.389) and 36 home runs.
  • The right-hander has faced the Cardinals one time this season, allowing them to go 5-for-15 with a double, a home run and three RBI in four innings.

Cardinals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Cardinals have won 12, or 60%, of the 20 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • St. Louis has a record of 7-6 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -151 on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cardinals have a 60.2% chance to win.
  • St. Louis’ games have gone over the total in 19 of their 41 chances.
  • The Cardinals are 22-18-0 ATS in their 40 games with a spread this season.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Pirates have won in 12, or 38.7%, of the 31 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Pittsburgh has a mark of 8-14 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +130 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 43.5% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 15 of their 39 opportunities.
  • In 39 games with a line this season, the Pirates have a mark of 19-20-0 against the spread.

Cardinals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Goldschmidt’s .342 average leads the Cardinals this year. His resume also includes six homers and driven in 29 RBI.
  • Goldschmidt’s home runs put him 41st in the majors, and he ranks eighth in RBI.
  • Goldschmidt carries a 14-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is batting .465 with eight doubles, four home runs, a walk and 15 RBI.
  • Nolan Arenado has shown his power as he paces his team with nine home runs and 31 runs batted in.
  • Arenado ranks 11th in home runs and sixth in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Tommy Edman is hitting .278 with four doubles, three triples, four home runs and 18 walks.
  • Edman is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .300 with a double, a triple, a walk and two RBI.
  • Harrison Bader has four doubles, three home runs and nine walks while hitting .240.
  • Bader brings a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .294 with an RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Paul Goldschmidt 39 .342 .409 .566 6 29 52
Nolan Arenado 39 .279 .344 .544 9 31 41
Tommy Edman 39 .278 .370 .431 4 19 40
Harrison Bader 38 .240 .299 .344 3 11 30
Dylan Carlson 39 .247 .291 .363 2 11 36

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Ben Gamel has driven in the most runs for the Pirates with 15 runs batted in.
  • In all of MLB, Gamel is 128th in homers and 115th in RBI.
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes is hitting .285 to lead the lineup.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Hayes ranks 323rd in homers and 217th in RBI.
  • Daniel Vogelbach has six home runs, best in the lineup.
  • Bryan Reynolds is batting .231 with four doubles, a triple, five home runs and 17 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Ben Gamel 39 .269 .360 .412 3 15 32
Ke’Bryan Hayes 36 .285 .373 .362 0 9 37
Daniel Vogelbach 33 .250 .331 .473 6 14 28
Bryan Reynolds 36 .231 .322 .388 5 9 31
Michael Chavis 32 .296 .321 .510 4 15 29

Betting Tips for Cardinals vs. Pirates

After taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Pirates on the moneyline at +130. Our computer picks see the scoring going under the total of 9 runs.

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