Brewers vs. Reds Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/19/2022

by | Jun 19, 2022

Entering Sunday’s matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers (37-30), the Cincinnati Reds (23-42) are on a three-game losing streak. The contest starts at 1:40 PM ET with the Brewers listed as -137 favorites, while the are +117 underdogs who may be heading for a fourth straight defeat. Adrian Houser gets the starting nod for Milwaukee while Mike Minor is Cincinnati’s starter for the contest.

Brewers vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Brewers vs Reds Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Brewers -137 +117 9.5 -110 -110 -1.5 +118 -141

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Reds

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+117) and Over (9.5)

Brewers vs. Reds Game Info

  • Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Adrian Houser
  • Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Mike Minor
  • Game Day: Sunday, June 19, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:40 PM ET
  • Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
  • Stadium: Great American Ball Park

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Houser Minor
12 GS 3
3-7 W-L 1-2
4.21 ERA 7.36
62.0 IP 14.2
25 BB 5
49 SO 13

Brewers Starter Adrian Houser

  • Houser makes the start for the Brewers, his 13th of the season. He is 3-7 with a 4.21 ERA and 49 strikeouts in 62 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander’s most recent appearance was on Tuesday against the New York Mets, when he tossed 4 2/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing eight hits.
  • The 29-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.21, with 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings, in 12 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .261 batting average against him.
  • Houser is looking to pick up his fifth quality start of the season in this game.
  • Houser is looking to pick up his ninth start of five or more innings this year in this game.
  • The opposing Reds offense has a collective .239 batting average, and is 25th in the league with 509 total hits and 14th in MLB action with 284 runs scored. It has the 20th-ranked slugging percentage (.379) and ranks 19th in home runs (62) in all of MLB.
  • Houser has a 7 ERA and a 2 WHIP against the Reds this season in nine innings pitched, allowing a .310 batting average over two appearances.

Reds Starter Mike Minor

  • The Reds will hand the ball to Minor (1-2) for his fourth start of the season.
  • The left-hander gave up four earned runs and allowed eight hits in 6 1/3 innings pitched against the Arizona Diamondbacks on Tuesday.
  • The 34-year-old has pitched in three games this season with an ERA of 7.36, a 2.6 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.500.
  • In three starts, Minor has pitched through or past the fifth inning one time. He has a season average of 4.3 frames per outing.
  • The Brewers have scored 293 runs this season, which ranks 11th in MLB. They are batting .233 for the campaign with 86 home runs, fourth in the league.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Brewers have been favorites in 55 games this season and won 31 (56.4%) of those contests.
  • Milwaukee has a record of 23-14 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -137 on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 57.8% chance to win.
  • Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 33 of their 67 games with a total this season.
  • The Brewers have an ATS record of 29-38-0 in 67 games with a spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Reds have come away with 18 wins in the 49 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Cincinnati has a mark of 12-24 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +117 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Reds have an implied victory probability of 46.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Cincinnati and their opponents have hit the over in 35 of their 66 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Reds are 31-35-0 against the spread in their 66 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Rowdy Tellez leads the Brewers with 39 runs batted in while accumulating a team-high batting average of .253.
  • Of all hitters in the majors, Tellez ranks 45th in home runs and 25th in RBI.
  • Tellez brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .278 with a double, two walks and an RBI.
  • Christian Yelich is batting .242 with nine doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 29 walks.
  • Yelich is 87th in home runs and 141st in RBI among all batters in the majors.
  • Willy Adames has a team-high 13 home runs.
  • Adames is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .227 with a double, two home runs and five RBI.
  • Hunter Renfroe has seven doubles, 12 home runs and 12 walks while hitting .250.
  • Renfroe has recorded at least one hit in four straight games. In his last five games he is batting .294 with two home runs, three walks and five RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Rowdy Tellez 63 .253 .320 .457 10 39 56
Christian Yelich 64 .242 .325 .381 7 23 59
Willy Adames 45 .203 .283 .477 13 33 35
Hunter Renfroe 50 .250 .295 .484 12 25 46
Jace Peterson 58 .229 .308 .425 6 24 35

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Brandon Drury leads the Reds with 14 long balls.
  • Among all batters in the big leagues, Drury’s home run total is 17th and his RBI tally is 38th.
  • Tommy Pham is batting .256 with nine doubles, nine home runs and 32 walks.
  • Pham ranks 51st among all hitters in MLB in home runs, and 107th in RBI.
  • Kyle Farmer paces the Reds with 37 runs batted in while generating a team-best batting average of .288.
  • Joey Votto is hitting .206 with 10 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 27 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Brandon Drury 56 .258 .325 .512 14 35 54
Tommy Pham 57 .256 .351 .430 9 26 53
Kyle Farmer 56 .288 .348 .434 5 37 57
Joey Votto 49 .206 .338 .370 5 22 34
Mike Moustakas 45 .216 .318 .318 3 14 32

Betting Tips for Brewers vs. Reds

After analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Reds on the moneyline at +117. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 9.5 runs.

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