Brewers vs. Reds Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/17/2022

by | Jun 17, 2022

The Milwaukee Brewers (35-30) visit the Cincinnati Reds (23-40) on Friday to start a three-game series, with the first pitch at 6:40 PM ET from Great American Ball Park. The Brewers are listed as -112 favorites, while the underdog Reds have -108 odds on the moneyline. Eric Lauer takes the mound for Milwaukee while Hunter Greene is Cincinnati’s starter for the contest.

Brewers vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Brewers vs Reds Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Brewers -112 -108 9 -122 +102 -1.5 +141 -167

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Reds

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (-108) and Over (9)

Brewers vs. Reds Game Info

  • Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Eric Lauer
  • Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Hunter Greene
  • Game Day: Friday, June 17, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
  • Stadium: Great American Ball Park

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Lauer Greene
11 GS 12
5-2 W-L 3-7
3.36 ERA 5.10
61.2 IP 60.0
21 BB 26
67 SO 79

Brewers Starter Eric Lauer

  • Lauer (5-2 with a 3.36 ERA and 67 strikeouts in 61 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Brewers, his 12th of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last time out came on Saturday against the Washington Nationals, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings, surrendering eight earned runs while giving up seven hits.
  • The 27-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.36, with 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings, in 11 games this season. Opponents are batting .228 against him.
  • Lauer is trying to record his seventh quality start of the year.
  • Lauer is looking for his third straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 frames per appearance on the hill.
  • He will face off against a Reds squad that is hitting .238 as a unit (19th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .379 (21st in MLB) with 59 total home runs (20th in MLB).

Reds Starter Hunter Greene

  • Greene (3-7) will take the mound for the Reds, his 13th start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed two hits in 5 2/3 innings against the St. Louis Cardinals.
  • The 22-year-old has an ERA of 5.10 and 11.9 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .224 in 12 games this season.
  • In 12 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in three of them.
  • Greene has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • The Brewers are batting .232 this season, 23rd in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .394 (14th in the league) with 81 home runs.
  • The Brewers have gone 13-for-37 with three doubles, six home runs and 10 RBI in eight innings this season against the right-hander.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Brewers have won 30 out of the 54 games, or 55.6%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Milwaukee has entered 53 games this season favored by -112 or more and is 30-23 in those contests.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 52.8% chance to win.
  • Games involving Milwaukee have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 32 of 65 chances this season.
  • The Brewers are 28-37-0 against the spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Reds have been underdogs in 48 games this season and have come away with the win 18 times (37.5%) in those contests.
  • Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 18-29 when favored by -108 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 51.9% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Contests with Cincinnati have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 34 of 64 chances this season.
  • The Reds have an against the spread mark of 30-34-0 in 64 games with a line this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Rowdy Tellez comes into Friday’s game hitting .252 with 38 RBI, both team-leading marks for the Brewers. He has also launched 10 long balls in 2022.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Tellez’s home run total ranks him 42nd, and his RBI tally puts him 25th.
  • Christian Yelich is batting .242 with nine doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 28 walks.
  • Yelich ranks 80th in homers and 134th in RBI on the season.
  • Yelich has nine straight games with at least one hit. In his last 10 games he is hitting .326 with two home runs, three walks and two RBI.
  • Willy Adames has racked up a team-best 11 home runs.
  • Jace Peterson is batting .226 with seven doubles, two triples, six home runs and 16 walks.
  • Peterson has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .308 with a double, a walk and two RBI.
Rowdy Tellez 61 .252 .315 .458 10 38 54
Christian Yelich 62 .242 .325 .386 7 23 57
Willy Adames 43 .202 .286 .454 11 30 33
Jace Peterson 56 .226 .301 .425 6 22 33
Hunter Renfroe 48 .251 .298 .463 10 21 44

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Brandon Drury leads the Reds with 13 home runs.
  • Drury’s home run total places him 17th in the big leagues, and he is 37th in RBI.
  • Kyle Farmer’s 37 runs batted in and .283 batting average both pace his team.
  • Farmer ranks 133rd among all hitters in MLB in homers, and 27th in RBI.
  • Tommy Pham is hitting .250 with nine doubles, eight home runs and 31 walks.
  • Joey Votto has 10 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 27 walks while hitting .206.
Brandon Drury 54 .265 .333 .515 13 34 53
Kyle Farmer 54 .283 .343 .435 5 37 54
Tommy Pham 55 .250 .346 .415 8 25 50
Joey Votto 47 .206 .342 .375 5 22 33
Matt Reynolds 42 .270 .333 .393 3 13 33

Betting Tips for Brewers vs. Reds

After digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Reds on the moneyline at -108. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 9 runs.

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