Brewers vs. Reds Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/4/2022

by | May 4, 2022

Entering Wednesday’s matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers (15-8), the Cincinnati Reds (3-20) are on a seven-game losing streak. The contest starts at 7:40 PM ET with the Brewers listed as -264 favorites, while the are +216 underdogs who may be heading for a eighth straight defeat. Milwaukee’s Freddy Peralta gets the start, and he’ll go against Cincinnati’s Vladimir Gutierrez.

Brewers vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Brewers vs Reds Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Brewers -264 +216 7.5 -111 -109 -1.5 -121 +100

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Reds

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+216) and Over (7.5)

Brewers vs. Reds Game Info

  • Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta
  • Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Vladimir Gutierrez
  • Game Day: Wednesday, May 4, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:40 PM ET
  • Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • Stadium: American Family Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Peralta Gutierrez
4 GS 4
0-1 W-L 0-4
5.00 ERA 7.41
18.0 IP 17.0
8 BB 15
23 SO 11

Brewers Starter Freddy Peralta

  • Peralta gets the start for the Brewers, his fifth of the season. He is 0-1 with a 5.00 ERA and 23 strikeouts in 18 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Thursday against the Pittsburgh Pirates, when he tossed six scoreless innings while giving up three hits.
  • The 25-year-old has put up an ERA of 5.00, with 11.5 strikeouts per nine innings, in four games this season. Opponents have a .232 batting average against him.
  • Peralta will try to last five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 4.2 frames per outing.
  • The opposing Reds offense has the 29th-ranked slugging percentage (.316) and ranks 22nd in MLB play with 17 home runs. It has a collective .200 batting average, and is last in MLB with 146 total hits and 27th in MLB play scoring 70 runs.

Reds Starter Vladimir Gutierrez

  • The Reds will hand the ball to Gutierrez (0-4) for his fifth start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up six earned runs and allowed five hits in four innings against the San Diego Padres.
  • The 26-year-old has pitched in four games this season with an ERA of 7.41, a 0.733 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.941.
  • The Brewers rank 24th in MLB with a .222 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 10th in the league (.382) and 26 home runs.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Brewers have entered the game as favorites 20 times this season and won 13, or 65%, of those games.
  • Milwaukee has not entered a game this season as a bigger favorite on the moneyline than the -264 odds on them winning this game.
  • The Brewers have a 72.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • So far this season, Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in eight of their 23 games with a total.
  • The Brewers are 11-12-0 ATS in their 23 games with a spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Reds have been victorious in three, or 15%, of the 20 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Cincinnati has been listed as an underdog of +216 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
  • The Reds have an implied victory probability of 31.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 13 of their 23 opportunities.
  • The Reds are 6-17-0 against the spread in their 23 games that had a posted line this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Willy Adames has gone yard six times in the 2022 campaign while knocking in 17 runs, both totals that lead the Brewers.
  • Of all hitters in baseball, Adames is eighth in home runs and 11th in RBI.
  • Adames has collected a hit in four straight games. In his last five games he is batting .250 with two doubles, two home runs, three walks and five RBI.
  • Rowdy Tellez is batting .242 to lead his team.
  • Among all MLB batters, Tellez ranks 17th in homers and 48th in RBI.
  • Christian Yelich is hitting .211 with four doubles, three home runs and 12 walks.
  • Hunter Renfroe has four doubles, five home runs and four walks while batting .231.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Willy Adames 23 .241 .333 .506 6 17 21
Rowdy Tellez 22 .242 .315 .530 5 12 16
Christian Yelich 22 .211 .319 .382 3 12 16
Hunter Renfroe 21 .231 .265 .474 5 10 18
Andrew McCutchen 22 .224 .277 .341 2 10 19

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Tommy Pham paces the Reds with four home runs and has accumulated a team-best batting average of .240.
  • Pham is 28th in home runs and 152nd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Brandon Drury has shown his power as he paces his team with four home runs.
  • Drury is 28th in homers and 127th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Kyle Farmer has driven in a team-best 10 runs batted in.
  • Tyler Naquin has driven in a team-high 10 runs batted in.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Tommy Pham 21 .240 .329 .467 4 7 18
Brandon Drury 18 .232 .283 .518 4 8 13
Kyle Farmer 23 .232 .281 .317 0 10 19
Tyler Naquin 18 .212 .257 .379 2 10 14
Tyler Stephenson 12 .235 .341 .412 2 6 8

Betting Tips for Brewers vs. Reds

We have the Reds on the moneyline at +216 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after looking at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

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