Brewers vs. Cubs Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/1/2022

by | May 2, 2022

The Chicago Cubs (8-13 look to avoid the sweep when they visit the Milwaukee Brewers (14-7) in the final game of a three-game set. Bookmakers have listed the Brewers as -203 favorites, while the Cubs are +171 underdogs to pick up a win. Milwaukee’s Corbin Burnes and Chicago’s Marcus Stroman have been named the starters for this contest.

Brewers vs. Cubs Spread and Betting Line

Brewers vs Cubs Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Brewers -203 +171 7 -108 -112 -1.5 +110 -132

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Cubs

Our computer pick: Chicago Cubs (+171) and Over (7)

Brewers vs. Cubs Game Info

  • Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes
  • Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman
  • Game Day: Sunday, May 1, 2022
  • Game Time: 2:10 PM ET
  • Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • Stadium: American Family Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Matchup

Burnes Stroman
4 GS 4
1-0 W-L 0-3
1.75 ERA 6.98
25.2 IP 19.1
6 BB 6
33 SO 17

Brewers Starter Corbin Burnes

  • Burnes gets the start for the Brewers, his fifth of the season. He is 1-0 with a 1.75 ERA and 33 strikeouts in 25 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty last pitched on Monday against the San Francisco Giants, when he tossed 6 2/3 scoreless innings while giving up two hits.
  • The 27-year-old has an ERA of 1.75, with 11.6 strikeouts per nine innings, in four games this season. Opponents have a .151 batting average against him.
  • Burnes is looking for his fourth straight quality start.
  • Burnes will look to prolong a five-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 frames per outing).
  • The opposing Cubs offense has the 11th-ranked slugging percentage (.387) and is 21st in MLB play with 16 home runs. It has a collective .250 batting average, and is eighth in MLB with 172 total hits and seventh in MLB action scoring 94 runs.
  • Burnes has thrown five innings, giving up three earned runs on four hits while striking out four against the Cubs this season.
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 27-year-old’s 1.75 ERA ranks 12th, .740 WHIP ranks fifth, and 11.6 K/9 ranks ninth.

Cubs Starter Marcus Stroman

  • The Cubs will hand the ball to Stroman (0-3) for his fifth start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw six innings against the Atlanta Braves, giving up two earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • The 31-year-old has pitched in four games this season with an ERA of 6.98, a 2.833 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.448.
  • He has one quality starts in four chances this season.
  • In four starts, Stroman has pitched through or past the fifth inning two times. He has a season average of 4.3 frames per outing.
  • The Brewers are batting .227 this season, 19th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .389 (eighth in the league) with 24 home runs.
  • The Brewers have gone 2-for-16 with a home run and an RBI in one game against the right-hander this season.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Brewers have been favored 18 times and won 12, or 66.7%, of those games.
  • Milwaukee has played as a favorite of -203 or more twice this season and won both games.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 67% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
  • So far this season, Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in seven of their 21 games with a total.
  • The Brewers are 10-11-0 against the spread this season.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Cubs have been chosen as underdogs in 15 games this year and have walked away with the win six times (40%) in those games.
  • Chicago has played as an underdog of +171 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 36.9% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 10 of their 21 opportunities.
  • In 21 games with a line this season, the Cubs have a mark of 10-11-0 against the spread.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Willy Adames is the Brewers best power option, connecting on five home runs this season in addition to collecting 14 RBI, both team highs.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Adames’ home run total ranks him 11th, and his RBI tally puts him 15th.
  • Adames has collected a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .364 with three doubles, four home runs, two walks and 10 RBI.
  • Rowdy Tellez is hitting .246 with four doubles, four home runs and five walks.
  • Tellez is 21st in homers and 48th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
  • Tellez heads into this matchup looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .357 with a double, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
  • Christian Yelich is batting .229 with four doubles, three home runs and 10 walks.
  • Yelich will look to build on his three-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with two home runs, two walks and four RBI.
  • Hunter Renfroe’s five home runs and .254 batting average both pace his team.
  • Renfroe has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .238 with three home runs and five RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Willy Adames 21 .238 .330 .488 5 14 19
Rowdy Tellez 20 .246 .303 .508 4 11 15
Christian Yelich 20 .229 .325 .414 3 12 16
Hunter Renfroe 19 .254 .289 .521 5 10 18
Andrew McCutchen 20 .247 .302 .377 2 10 19

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Seiya Suzuki leads the Cubs in home runs (four) and runs batted in (14).
  • Suzuki’s home run total places him 21st in the majors, and he ranks 15th in RBI.
  • Ian Happ has a club-best .317 batting average.
  • Happ is currently 77th in home runs and 48th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Willson Contreras is batting .250 with six doubles, two home runs and nine walks.
  • Patrick Wisdom is batting .242 with seven doubles, three home runs and seven walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Seiya Suzuki 21 .279 .405 .529 4 14 19
Ian Happ 20 .317 .429 .460 2 11 20
Willson Contreras 18 .250 .354 .426 2 7 17
Patrick Wisdom 20 .242 .311 .485 3 13 16
Nico Hoerner 20 .281 .313 .391 1 8 18

Betting Tips for Brewers vs. Cubs

After analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Cubs on the moneyline at +171. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7 runs.

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