Brewers vs. Braves Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/7/2022

by | May 7, 2022

The Milwaukee Brewers (18-8) will vie for their fifth straight victory when they visit the Atlanta Braves (12-16) on Saturday at 7:20 PM ET. The Brewers are listed as -111 favorites by sportsbooks, while the Braves are -108 underdogs. Corbin Burnes will get the ball for Milwaukee while Atlanta counter with Max Fried.

Brewers vs. Braves Spread and Betting Line

Brewers vs Braves Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Brewers -111 -108 6.5 -112 -107 -1.5 +153 -184

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Braves

Our computer pick: Atlanta Braves (-108) and Over (6.5)

Brewers vs. Braves Game Info

  • Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes
  • Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Max Fried
  • Game Day: Saturday, May 7, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Stadium: Truist Park

Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Pitching Matchup

Burnes Fried
5 GS 5
1-1 W-L 3-2
1.93 ERA 3.00
32.2 IP 30.0
7 BB 1
43 SO 27

Brewers Starter Corbin Burnes

  • Burnes makes the start for the Brewers, his sixth of the season. He is 1-1 with a 1.93 ERA and 43 strikeouts in 32 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last appearance on Sunday, the right-hander went seven innings against the Chicago Cubs, allowing two earned runs while surrendering four hits.
  • In five games this season, the 27-year-old has put up an ERA of 1.93, with 11.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .153 against him.
  • Burnes is aiming to earn his fifth quality start in a row in this matchup.
  • Burnes will look to continue a six-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.2 innings per appearance).
  • He will face a Braves offense that ranks 14th in the league with 110 runs while batting .222 as a squad. It has a collective .389 slugging percentage (11th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 33 home runs (fourth in MLB).
  • This season, the 27-year-old ranks 15th in ERA (1.93), third in WHIP (.735), and seventh in K/9 (11.8) among pitchers who qualify.

Braves Starter Max Fried

  • The Braves will send Fried (3-2) to the mound for his sixth start this season.
  • The left-hander gave up two earned runs in six innings pitched on Monday in his last outing, a matchup with the New York Mets.
  • The 28-year-old has pitched in five games this season with an ERA of 3.00, a 27 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of .867.
  • If he completes six or more innings with three or fewer earned runs allowed, he’ll earn his fourth quality start in a row.
  • Fried has pitched five or more innings in five straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • The Brewers have scored 131 runs this season, which ranks first in MLB. They are batting .239 for the campaign with 35 home runs, first in the league.
  • Among qualified pitchers this year, the 28-year-old’s 3.00 ERA ranks 33rd, .867 WHIP ranks 11th, and 8.1 K/9 ranks 36th.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Brewers have won 16, or 69.6%, of the 23 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Milwaukee is 16-7 this season when entering a game favored by -111 or more on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 52.6% chance to win.
  • Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 11 of their 26 games with a total this season.
  • The Brewers are 14-12-0 ATS in their 26 games with a spread this season.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Braves have won in five, or 45.5%, of the 11 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This season, Atlanta has been victorious four times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least -108 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Braves have an implied victory probability of 51.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Atlanta and their opponents have hit the over in 15 of their 28 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Braves have an against the spread mark of 11-17-0 in 28 games with a line this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Willy Adames’ eight homers in 2022 are the most on the Brewers. He’s also knocked in 22 runs while hitting .245.
  • Among all batters in the majors, Adames’ home run total ranks him third, and his RBI tally ranks him fourth.
  • Adames has collected a hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .278 with three home runs, five walks and eight RBI.
  • Rowdy Tellez’s 23 runs batted in and .293 batting average both lead his team.
  • Tellez ranks sixth in home runs and third in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Tellez has four straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .429 with four doubles, three home runs, two walks and 12 RBI.
  • Christian Yelich is hitting .256 with six doubles, four home runs and 13 walks.
  • Yelich will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .350 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and five RBI.
  • Andrew McCutchen is batting .253 with five doubles, two home runs and seven walks.
  • McCutchen has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .217 with a double, a walk and four RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Willy Adames 26 .245 .357 .541 8 22 24
Rowdy Tellez 25 .293 .348 .646 7 23 24
Christian Yelich 25 .256 .349 .456 4 17 23
Andrew McCutchen 24 .253 .305 .368 2 14 24
Kolten Wong 24 .229 .275 .361 1 8 19

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Matt Olson leads the Braves with a team-high batting average of .275.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Olson is 63rd in homers and 82nd in RBI.
  • Austin Riley has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with seven home runs and 14 RBI.
  • Among all major league batters, Riley is sixth in home runs and 41st in RBI.
  • Ozzie Albies is batting .220 with four doubles, six home runs and 10 walks.
  • Marcell Ozuna is batting .218 with five doubles, four home runs and five walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Matt Olson 28 .275 .390 .471 3 11 28
Austin Riley 27 .262 .356 .534 7 14 27
Ozzie Albies 28 .220 .290 .422 6 12 24
Marcell Ozuna 28 .218 .256 .373 4 10 24
Travis d’Arnaud 19 .288 .316 .438 2 12 21

Betting Tips for Brewers vs. Braves

After taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Braves on the moneyline at -108. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 6.5 runs.

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