Brewers vs. Braves Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/6/2022

by | May 6, 2022

The Milwaukee Brewers (17-8) and Willy Adames (2 HR in his last game) are favored (-113) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Atlanta Braves (12-15) on Friday at 7:20 PM ET. Eric Lauer gets the starting nod for Milwaukee while Jesse Chavez is Atlanta’s starter for the contest.

Brewers vs. Braves Spread and Betting Line

Brewers vs Braves Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Brewers -113 -106 8.5 -105 -114 -1.5 +104 +108

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Braves

Our computer pick: Atlanta Braves (-106) and Over (8.5)

Brewers vs. Braves Game Info

  • Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Eric Lauer
  • Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Jesse Chavez
  • Game Day: Friday, May 6, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Stadium: Truist Park

Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Pitching Matchup

Lauer Chavez
4 GS 0
2-0 W-L 0-0
1.93 ERA 2.84
23.1 IP 12.2
5 BB 2
34 SO 13

Brewers Starter Eric Lauer

  • Lauer (2-0 with a 1.93 ERA and 34 strikeouts in 23 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Brewers, his fifth of the season.
  • In his last appearance on Saturday against the Chicago Cubs, the left-hander tossed seven innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering five hits.
  • In four games this season, the 26-year-old has a 1.93 ERA and 13.1 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .207 to opposing batters.
  • Lauer is seeking his fourth quality start in a row.
  • Lauer is looking for his fourth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.3 frames per appearance on the hill.
  • He will face a Braves offense that ranks ninth in MLB with 200 total hits (on a .226 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .392 (eighth in MLB) with 31 total home runs (fourth in MLB).

Braves Starter Jesse Chavez

  • Chavez will make his first start of the season for the Braves.
  • The 38-year-old righty will start for the first time this year after coming out of the bullpen eight times.
  • He has pitched to a 2.84 ERA this season with 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.4 walks per nine across eight games.
  • The Brewers are batting .237 this season, 13th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .424 (second in the league) with 35 home runs.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Brewers have been favorites in 22 games this season and won 15 (68.2%) of those contests.
  • Milwaukee has a record of 15-7, a 68.2% win rate, when favored by -113 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.1% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
  • Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 10 of their 25 opportunities.
  • The Brewers are 13-12-0 ATS in their 25 games with a spread this season.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Braves have won in five of the 10 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This season, Atlanta has come away with a win two times in five chances when named as an underdog of at least -106 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Braves have an implied victory probability of 51.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Contests with Atlanta have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 14 of 27 chances this season.
  • The Braves have an against the spread mark of 11-16-0 in 27 games with a line this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Adames is the Brewers best power hitter, connecting on eight home runs this season in addition to delivering 21 RBI, both team highs.
  • Adames is second in homers and third in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Rowdy Tellez has 21 runs batted in while batting .286. Both lead his team.
  • Tellez is sixth in homers and third in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
  • Tellez carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .450 with three doubles, four home runs, two walks and 13 RBI.
  • Christian Yelich is batting .247 with six doubles, four home runs and 13 walks.
  • Yelich is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .400 with two doubles, two home runs, three walks and six RBI.
  • Andrew McCutchen has five doubles, two home runs and seven walks while hitting .256.
Willy Adames 25 .245 .355 .553 8 21 23
Rowdy Tellez 24 .286 .345 .649 7 21 22
Christian Yelich 24 .247 .347 .459 4 16 21
Andrew McCutchen 23 .256 .310 .378 2 14 23
Hunter Renfroe 23 .221 .253 .442 5 10 19

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Austin Riley has posted a team-leading seven home runs and has driven in 14 runs.
  • In all of the majors, Riley is sixth in home runs and 38th in RBI.
  • Matt Olson has a club-high .283 batting average.
  • Olson is 62nd among all hitters in MLB in homers, and 80th in RBI.
  • Ozzie Albies has four doubles, six home runs and 10 walks while batting .217.
  • Marcell Ozuna has five doubles, four home runs and four walks while batting .224.
Austin Riley 26 .270 .360 .550 7 14 27
Matt Olson 27 .283 .395 .485 3 11 28
Ozzie Albies 27 .217 .292 .425 6 11 23
Marcell Ozuna 27 .224 .257 .383 4 10 24
Travis d’Arnaud 18 .300 .329 .457 2 12 21

Betting Tips for Brewers vs. Braves

After taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Braves on the moneyline at -106. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

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