Brewers vs. Braves Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/18/2022

by | May 18, 2022

The Milwaukee Brewers (23-14) and the Atlanta Braves (17-20) meet in the rubber match of a three-game series on Wednesday at 1:10 PM ET. The Brewers are -144 favorites on the moneyline to win the series over the Braves (+123). Corbin Burnes will get the ball for Milwaukee while Atlanta counter with Max Fried.

Brewers vs. Braves Spread and Betting Line

Brewers vs Braves Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Brewers -144 +123 6.5 -110 -110 -1.5 +157 -189

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Braves

Our computer pick: Atlanta Braves (+123) and Over (6.5)

Brewers vs. Braves Game Info

  • Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes
  • Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Max Fried
  • Game Day: Wednesday, May 18, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:10 PM ET
  • Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • Stadium: American Family Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Pitching Matchup

Burnes Fried
7 GS 7
1-2 W-L 4-2
1.77 ERA 3.14
45.2 IP 43.0
8 BB 4
57 SO 41

Brewers Starter Corbin Burnes

  • Burnes gets the start for the Brewers, his eighth of the season. He is 1-2 with a 1.77 ERA and 57 strikeouts in 45 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His most recent appearance was on Friday against the Miami Marlins, when the right-hander threw seven innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up five hits.
  • In seven games this season, the 27-year-old has a 1.77 ERA and 11.2 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .176 to opposing hitters.
  • Burnes is aiming for his seventh straight quality start.
  • Burnes is seeking his eighth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.2 frames per appearance on the hill.
  • He will face a Braves squad that is batting .221 as a unit (26th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .385 (13th in MLB) with 45 total home runs (fifth in MLB).
  • Burnes has thrown six innings, giving up one earned run on six hits while striking out seven against the Braves this season.
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 27-year-old’s 1.77 ERA ranks sixth, .788 WHIP ranks second, and 11.2 K/9 ranks sixth.

Braves Starter Max Fried

  • Fried (4-2) will take to the mound for the Braves and make his eighth start of the season.
  • The left-hander gave up four earned runs in six innings pitched on Friday in his last outing, a matchup with the San Diego Padres.
  • The 28-year-old has pitched to a 3.14 ERA this season with 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 0.8 walks per nine across seven games.
  • He has earned a quality start four times in seven starts this season.
  • Fried has seven starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • The Brewers rank sixth in MLB with 172 runs scored this season. They have a .232 batting average this campaign with 49 home runs (fourth in the league).
  • The left-hander has allowed the Brewers to go 4-for-24 with a double, a home run and an RBI in seven innings this season.
  • Among qualified pitchers this season, the 28-year-old’s 3.14 ERA ranks 26th, .977 WHIP ranks 11th, and 8.6 K/9 ranks 24th.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Brewers have been favorites in 33 games this season and won 21 (63.6%) of those contests.
  • Milwaukee has a record of 17-8 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -144 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 59%.
  • So far this season, Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 17 of their 37 games with a total.
  • In 37 games with a spread this season, the Brewers are 16-21-0 ATS.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Braves have been underdogs in 14 games this season and have come away with the win seven times (50%) in those contests.
  • This year, Atlanta has won one of three games when listed as at least +123 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Braves have a 44.8% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Contests with Atlanta have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 20 of 37 chances this season.
  • The Braves have an against the spread record of 16-21-0 in 37 games with a line this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Christian Yelich has eight doubles, a triple, five home runs and 19 walks while hitting .238.
  • Yelich’s home runs rank him 48th in the majors, and he ranks 41st in RBI.
  • Rowdy Tellez has made the most of his opportunities as he leads his team with 29 RBI.
  • Tellez ranks 14th in homers and fourth in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Willy Adames has put up a team-best nine home runs.
  • Kolten Wong is hitting .248 to lead his team.
Christian Yelich 36 .238 .340 .431 5 20 31
Rowdy Tellez 36 .236 .304 .504 8 29 29
Willy Adames 35 .208 .304 .462 9 24 27
Kolten Wong 34 .248 .326 .410 3 12 29
Hunter Renfroe 34 .240 .277 .496 9 15 31

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Matt Olson leads the team in batting average with a mark of .248.
  • Olson’s home run total puts him 72nd in the majors, and he is 91st in RBI.
  • Ozzie Albies is batting .228 with seven doubles, six home runs and 11 walks.
  • Albies is currently 34th in homers and 91st in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Austin Riley leads the Braves with seven long balls.
  • Marcell Ozuna has driven in a team-leading 16 runs batted in.
Matt Olson 37 .248 .366 .438 4 15 34
Ozzie Albies 37 .228 .286 .400 6 15 33
Austin Riley 36 .230 .318 .446 7 15 32
Marcell Ozuna 37 .211 .260 .373 6 16 30
Dansby Swanson 37 .218 .295 .387 4 16 27

Betting Tips for Brewers vs. Braves

After taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Braves on the moneyline at +123. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 6.5 runs.

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