Braves vs. Marlins Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 4/24/2022

by | Apr 24, 2022

Following a four-hit effort last time out, Jazz Chisholm leads the Miami Marlins (6-8) into action as +111 underdogs against the Atlanta Braves (7-9). First pitch from Truist Park at 1:35 PM ET on Sunday. Bryce Elder will get the ball for Atlanta while Miami counter with Jesus Luzardo.

Braves vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Braves vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Braves -131 +111 8.5 -102 -118 -1.5 +146 -174

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Marlins

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+111) and Over (8.5)

Braves vs. Marlins Game Info

  • Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Bryce Elder
  • Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Jesús Luzardo
  • Game Day: Sunday, April 24, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:35 PM ET
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Stadium: Truist Park

Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Elder Luzardo
2 GS 2
1-1 W-L 0-1
4.50 ERA 4.82
10.0 IP 9.1
5 BB 3
7 SO 15

Braves Starter Bryce Elder

  • The Braves will look to Elder (1-1) in his third start of the season.
  • The righty last pitched on Sunday against the San Diego Padres, when he went 4 1/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up three hits.
  • He has a 4.50 ERA and 6.3 strikeouts per nine innings while opponents are batting .237 against him over his two games this season.
  • The opposing Marlins offense has a collective .237 batting average, and is 19th in the league with 110 total hits and 19th in MLB action with 54 runs scored. It has the 13th-ranked slugging percentage (.370) and ranks 19th in home runs (12) in all of MLB.

Marlins Starter Jesús Luzardo

  • The Marlins will send Luzardo to the mound for his third start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw 4 1/3 innings, giving up four earned runs while allowing seven hits against the St. Louis Cardinals.
  • He has an ERA of 4.82, a 5 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.286 in two games this season.
  • Luzardo has one start of five or more innings this season in two chances. He averages 4.2 innings per outing.
  • The Braves rank 15th in MLB with a .233 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks seventh in the league (.412) and 19 home runs.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Braves have been favored nine times and won four of those games.
  • Atlanta has entered nine games this season favored by -131 or more and is 4-5 in those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.7% chance of a victory for the Braves.
  • Games involving Atlanta have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in seven of 16 chances this season.
  • In 16 games with a spread this season, the Braves are 6-10-0 ATS.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Marlins have been victorious in three of the nine contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Miami has a win-loss record of 3-3 when favored by +111 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 47.4% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in five of their 14 opportunities.
  • The Marlins are 8-6-0 against the spread in their 14 games that had a posted line this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Matt Olson has accumulated a team-best batting average of .373.
  • Of all batters in baseball, Olson ranks 46th in homers and 156th in RBI.
  • Ozzie Albies’ six home runs and 11 RBI both pace his team.
  • Albies is first in homers and 13th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Marcell Ozuna has four doubles, four home runs and two walks while hitting .274.
  • Ozuna has at least one base hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .167 with a double, a walk and two RBI.
  • Austin Riley has four doubles, three home runs and eight walks while batting .268.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Matt Olson 16 .373 .479 .610 2 4 22
Ozzie Albies 16 .242 .319 .581 6 11 15
Marcell Ozuna 16 .274 .303 .532 4 10 17
Austin Riley 15 .268 .379 .500 3 7 15
Travis d’Arnaud 11 .311 .326 .489 2 6 14

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Chisholm leads the Marlins in home runs (four) and runs batted in (15).
  • Chisholm is sixth in homers and fifth in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Jesus Sanchez has a club-leading .340 batting average.
  • Sanchez is 19th in home runs and 30th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
  • Joey Wendle is batting .325 with three doubles and two walks.
  • Brian Anderson is hitting .250 with two doubles and nine walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Jazz Chisholm 12 .325 .356 .800 4 15 13
Jesús Sánchez 13 .340 .386 .623 3 9 18
Joey Wendle 12 .325 .372 .400 0 4 13
Brian Anderson 12 .250 .429 .312 0 1 8
Miguel Rojas 12 .186 .222 .256 0 2 8

Betting Tips for Braves vs. Marlins

Our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +111 after looking at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 8.5 runs.

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