Braves vs. Marlins Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 4/22/2022

by | Apr 22, 2022

A pair of division rivals take the field Friday when the second-place Atlanta Braves (6-8) host the third-place Miami Marlins (5-6). Oddsmakers favor the Braves (-147) for the contest, which starts at 7:20 PM ET. Kyle Wright gets the starting nod for Atlanta while Trevor Rogers is Miami’s starter for the contest.

Braves vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Braves vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Braves -147 +124 8.5 -102 -119 -1.5 +135 -159

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Marlins

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+124) and Over (8.5)

Braves vs. Marlins Game Info

  • Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Kyle Wright
  • Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers
  • Game Day: Friday, April 22, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Stadium: Truist Park

Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Wright Rogers
2 GS 1
1-0 W-L 0-1
1.64 ERA 3.60
11.0 IP 5.0
1 BB 1
15 SO 3

Braves Starter Kyle Wright

  • The Braves will look to Wright (1-0) in his third start this season.
  • His last appearance was on Saturday against the San Diego Padres, when the righty tossed five innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing five hits.
  • In two appearances this season, he has put up a 1.64 ERA and averages 12.3 strikeouts per nine innings while opposing batters are hitting .179 against him.
  • Wright will try to build on a three-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 innings per appearance).
  • The opposing Marlins offense has a collective .231 batting average, and is 21st in the league with 83 total hits and 22nd in MLB action with 42 runs scored. It has the 14th-ranked slugging percentage (.367) and ranks 21st in home runs (nine) in all of MLB.

Marlins Starter Trevor Rogers

  • Rogers will take to the mound for the Marlins, his second start of the season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Sunday, April 10 against the San Francisco Giants, throwing five innings and giving up two earned runs.
  • He has pitched in one games this season with an ERA of 3.60, a 3 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.400.
  • The Braves have scored 54 runs this season, which ranks ninth in MLB. They have 106 hits, fifth in baseball, with 16 home runs (first in the league).

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Braves have won three out of the seven games in which they’ve been favored.
  • This season, Atlanta has won three of its seven games when favored by at least -147 on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 59.5% chance of a victory for the Braves.
  • Games involving Atlanta have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in six of 14 chances this season.
  • The Braves are 5-9-0 ATS in their 14 games with a spread this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Marlins have been victorious in two of the seven contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Miami has a win-loss record of 2-2 when favored by +124 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 44.6% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Miami’s games have gone over the total in three of their 11 opportunities.
  • The Marlins have an against the spread mark of 7-4-0 in 11 games with a line this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Matt Olson paces the Braves with a team-high batting average of .400.
  • Olson’s home runs put him 33rd in MLB, and he ranks 216th in RBI.
  • Marcell Ozuna’s nine runs batted in pace his team.
  • Ozuna ranks fifth in homers in MLB, and 19th in RBI.
  • Ozuna carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .211 with a double, two home runs, a walk and three RBI.
  • Ozzie Albies leads the Braves with five home runs and nine runs batted in.
  • Travis d’Arnaud has two home runs while batting .297.
  • d’Arnaud has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .250 with a home run and two RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Matt Olson 14 .400 .516 .640 2 2 20
Marcell Ozuna 14 .291 .310 .582 4 9 16
Ozzie Albies 14 .218 .302 .545 5 9 12
Travis d’Arnaud 9 .297 .316 .459 2 6 11
Orlando Arcia 7 .333 .400 .429 0 5 7

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Jesus Sanchez has posted a team- leading batting average of .356, and paces the Marlins in long balls with three.
  • Sanchez’s home run total puts him 13th in MLB, and he is 19th in RBI.
  • Jazz Chisholm has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with three home runs and 12 runs batted in.
  • Chisholm ranks 13th among all hitters in MLB in home runs, and fifth in RBI.
  • Joey Wendle is hitting .333 with three doubles and two walks.
  • Miguel Rojas is batting .171 with a double, a triple and two walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Jesús Sánchez 11 .356 .396 .667 3 9 16
Jazz Chisholm 10 .290 .333 .774 3 12 9
Joey Wendle 10 .333 .389 .424 0 4 11
Miguel Rojas 10 .171 .216 .257 0 2 6
Bryan De La Cruz 7 .500 .636 .875 1 2 4

Betting Tips for Braves vs. Marlins

Our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +124 after looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 8.5 runs.

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