Braves vs. Cubs Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 4/27/2022

by | Apr 27, 2022

Patrick Wisdom leads the Chicago Cubs (7-10) into Wednesday’s matchup with the Atlanta Braves (8-10) on a two-game homer streak. His Cubs are underdogs for the contest, however, with oddsmakers naming the Braves as -204 moneyline favorites. The game starts at 7:20 PM ET from Truist Park. Charlie Morton will get the ball for Atlanta while Chicago counter with Mark Leiter Jr..

Braves vs. Cubs Spread and Betting Line

Braves vs Cubs Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Braves -204 +173 8.5 -103 -117 -1.5 -106 -115

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Cubs

Our computer pick: Chicago Cubs (+173) and Over (8.5)

Braves vs. Cubs Game Info

  • Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Charlie Morton
  • Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Mark Leiter Jr.
  • Game Day: Wednesday, April 27, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Stadium: Truist Park

Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Matchup

Morton Leiter Jr.
3 GS 2
1-2 W-L 0-1
6.32 ERA 11.05
15.2 IP 7.1
7 BB 6
14 SO 7

Braves Starter Charlie Morton

  • Morton gets the start for the Braves, his fourth of the season. He is 1-2 with a 6.32 ERA and 14 strikeouts in 15 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty’s last appearance came on Wednesday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, when he tossed 5 1/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • The 38-year-old has an ERA of 6.32, with 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings, in three games this season. Opponents are batting .274 against him.
  • Morton is aiming for his fourth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.1 innings per appearance on the hill.
  • He will take the hill against a Cubs offense that is hitting .266 as a unit (first in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .412 (fourth in MLB) with 14 total home runs (17th in MLB).

Cubs Starter Mark Leiter Jr.

  • The Cubs’ Mark Leiter Jr. will make his third start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Thursday, when he threw four innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates, giving up two earned runs.
  • He has pitched in two games this season with an ERA of 11.05, a batting average against of .286 and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings.
  • The Braves rank 14th in MLB with 71 runs scored this season. They have a .230 batting average this campaign with 21 home runs (third in the league).

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Braves have won five out of the 11 games, or 45.5%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Atlanta has played as a favorite of -204 or more twice this season and lost both games.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 67.1% chance of a victory for the Braves.
  • Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in eight of their 18 games with a total this season.
  • The Braves are 7-11-0 against the spread this season.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Cubs have come away with five wins in the 11 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Chicago has yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +173.
  • The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 36.6% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in seven of their 17 opportunities.
  • In 17 games with a line this season, the Cubs have a mark of 9-8-0 against the spread.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

  • The Braves best power option comes in the form of Ozzie Albies and his six-homer 11-RBI season, both team highs.
  • In all of MLB, Albies ranks first in homers and 23rd in RBI.
  • Matt Olson is batting .333 to pace his team.
  • Olson ranks 60th in homers and 125th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Austin Riley is batting .277 with six doubles, four home runs and eight walks.
  • Marcell Ozuna is batting .275 with five doubles, four home runs and three walks.
  • Ozuna takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .235 with two doubles, two walks and two RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Ozzie Albies 18 .257 .333 .571 6 11 18
Matt Olson 18 .333 .438 .545 2 6 22
Austin Riley 17 .277 .373 .554 4 9 18
Marcell Ozuna 18 .275 .311 .522 4 10 19
Travis d’Arnaud 12 .312 .327 .479 2 6 15

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Seiya Suzuki paces the Cubs in home runs (four) and runs batted in (13).
  • Suzuki ranks 11th in homers and 10th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Ian Happ’s .333 batting average paces his team.
  • Happ is 60th in homers and 33rd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Willson Contreras is batting .255 with five doubles, two home runs and six walks.
  • Nico Hoerner is hitting .327 with two doubles, a triple, a home run and a walk.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Seiya Suzuki 17 .327 .463 .635 4 13 17
Ian Happ 16 .333 .433 .510 2 10 17
Willson Contreras 14 .255 .349 .455 2 6 14
Nico Hoerner 16 .327 .340 .462 1 8 17
Frank Schwindel 16 .242 .277 .387 2 9 15

Betting Tips for Braves vs. Cubs

After analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Cubs on the moneyline at +173. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

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