Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 4/27/2022

by | Apr 27, 2022

The Boston Red Sox (7-11) will try to end their four-game losing streak when they visit the Toronto Blue Jays (12-6) on Wednesday at 7:07 PM ET. Sportsbooks consider the Blue Jays to be -143 favorites for the contest, while the Red Sox are +122 underdogs looking for the upset. Ross Stripling will get the ball for Toronto while Boston counter with Michael Wacha.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Spread and Betting Line

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Blue Jays -143 +122 8.5 -121 +100 -1.5 +139 -165

Computer Predictions for Blue Jays vs. Red Sox

Our computer pick: Boston Red Sox (+122) and Over (8.5)

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Game Info

  • Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: Ross Stripling
  • Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Michael Wacha
  • Game Day: Wednesday, April 27, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:07 PM ET
  • Location: Toronto, Ontario
  • Stadium: Rogers Centre

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Stripling Wacha
2 GS 3
0-0 W-L 1-0
4.50 ERA 1.88
10.0 IP 14.1
4 BB 7
5 SO 12

Blue Jays Starter Ross Stripling

  • The Blue Jays will look to Stripling (0-0) in his third start of the season.
  • In his most recent time out on Saturday, the righty tossed four innings against the Houston Astros, allowing three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
  • In his four appearances this season, opposing hitters have compiled a batting average of only .216 against him. He has a 4.50 ERA and averages 4.5 strikeouts per nine innings.
  • The opposing Red Sox offense has the 20th-ranked slugging percentage (.346) and ranks 24th in MLB play with 11 home runs. It has a collective .226 batting average, and is 13th in MLB with 136 total hits and 17th in MLB action scoring 65 runs.

Red Sox Starter Michael Wacha

  • The Red Sox will send Wacha (1-0) to the mound for his fourth start this season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Friday, when he threw five innings against the Tampa Bay Rays, giving up two earned runs while allowing three hits.
  • The 30-year-old has pitched to a 1.88 ERA this season with 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 4.4 walks per nine across three games.
  • Wacha has started three games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings two times. He averages 4.2 innings per appearance.
  • The Blue Jays are batting .252 this season, fifth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .427 (first in the league) with 26 home runs.

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Blue Jays have won nine, or 81.8%, of the 11 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Toronto has a record of 5-2 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -143 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.8% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays.
  • Toronto’s games have gone over the total in six of their 17 chances.
  • The Blue Jays are 9-8-0 against the spread this season.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 10 games this year and have walked away with the win two times (20%) in those games.
  • Boston has a mark of 2-5 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +122 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 45% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Boston and their opponents have gone over in five of their 18 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Red Sox have an against the spread mark of 10-8-0 in 18 games with a line this season.

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Not only does Vladimir Guerrero Jr. lead the Blue Jays in hitting with his .328 average, he also is their foremost power hitter with five home runs and 12 RBI.
  • Guerrero ranks fifth in homers and 15th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
  • George Springer has five doubles, four home runs and three walks while batting .288.
  • Springer ranks 11th in homers and 33rd in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Springer heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with a double, two home runs, a walk and four RBI.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has five doubles, two home runs and three walks while hitting .292.
  • Santiago Espinal is batting .268 with five doubles, two home runs and five walks.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 18 .328 .400 .594 5 12 21
George Springer 17 .288 .333 .545 4 10 19
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 18 .292 .324 .462 2 10 19
Santiago Espinal 18 .268 .333 .464 2 10 15
Matt Chapman 18 .227 .282 .409 3 10 15

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Alex Verdugo leads the Red Sox with three home runs and runs batted in, driving in 13.
  • Verdugo ranks 29th in homers and 10th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Verdugo brings a hitting streak of six games into this game. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .229 with a double, two walks and six RBI.
  • Rafael Devers’ three home runs lead his team.
  • Devers ranks 29th among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 67th in RBI.
  • Xander Bogaerts leads the Red Sox’s lineup with a .362 batting average.
  • Kike Hernandez is batting .191 with six doubles, a home run and eight walks.
Alex Verdugo 18 .258 .306 .435 3 13 16
Rafael Devers 18 .270 .289 .459 3 8 20
Xander Bogaerts 17 .362 .380 .507 1 7 25
Kiké Hernández 17 .191 .273 .324 1 9 13
J.D. Martínez 14 .260 .333 .460 1 7 13

Betting Tips for Blue Jays vs. Red Sox

Our best bet is the Red Sox on the moneyline at +122 after digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 8.5 runs.

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