Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 4/25/2022

by | Apr 24, 2022

The Toronto Blue Jays (10-6) host the Boston Red Sox (7-9) on Monday to begin a four-game series, with the first pitch at 7:07 PM ET from Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays are listed as -143 favorites, while the underdog Red Sox have +123 odds on the moneyline. Jose Berrios will get the ball for Toronto while Boston counter with Nathan Eovaldi.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Spread and Betting Line

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Blue Jays -143 +123 9 +108 -128 -1.5 +147 -172

Computer Predictions for Blue Jays vs. Red Sox

Our computer pick: Boston Red Sox (+123) and Under (9)

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Game Info

  • Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: José Berríos
  • Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi
  • Game Day: Monday, April 25, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:07 PM ET
  • Location: Toronto, Ontario
  • Stadium: Rogers Centre

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Berríos Eovaldi
3 GS 3
1-0 W-L 1-0
6.35 ERA 3.68
11.1 IP 14.2
6 BB 3
11 SO 19

Blue Jays Starter José Berríos

  • Berrios gets the start for the Blue Jays, his fourth of the season. He is 1-0 with a 6.35 ERA and 11 strikeouts in 11 1/3 innings pitched.
  • His most recent appearance came on Wednesday against the Boston Red Sox, when the right-hander tossed six innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing eight hits.
  • The 27-year-old has amassed a 6.35 ERA and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings across three games this season, while giving up a batting average of .333 to opposing hitters.
  • Berrios is looking for his third straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 3.2 innings per appearance on the hill.
  • He will face a Red Sox team that is hitting .225 as a unit (19th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .350 (21st in MLB) with 11 total home runs (23rd in MLB).
  • In six innings over one appearance against the Red Sox this season, Berrios has a 1.50 ERA and a 1.500 WHIP while his opponents are hitting .308.

Red Sox Starter Nathan Eovaldi

  • Eovaldi (1-0) will take to the mound for the Red Sox and make his fourth start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed seven hits in 4 2/3 innings against the Toronto Blue Jays.
  • The 32-year-old has pitched to a 3.68 ERA this season with 11.7 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.8 walks per nine across three games.
  • Eovaldi has started three games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings two times. He averages 4.3 innings per appearance.
  • The Blue Jays rank 13th in MLB with 66 runs scored this season. They have a .250 batting average this campaign with 22 home runs (first in the league).
  • The Blue Jays have gone 7-for-21 with a home run and an RBI in one game against the right-hander this season.

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Blue Jays have been favored nine times and won seven of those games.
  • Toronto has entered six games this season favored by -143 or more and is 4-2 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Blue Jays, based on the moneyline, is 58.8%.
  • Toronto and its opponents have gone over the total this season in five of their 15 opportunities.
  • The Blue Jays are 8-7-0 ATS in their 15 games with a spread this season.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Red Sox have won in two of the eight contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Boston has a mark of 1-4 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +123 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 44.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in four of their 16 opportunities.
  • The Red Sox have posted a record of 9-7-0 against the spread this season.

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has put up a team-high batting average of .351, and paces the Blue Jays in home runs (five) and runs batted in (12).
  • Of all hitters in the majors, Guerrero ranks fourth in homers and ninth in RBI.
  • George Springer is batting .263 with five doubles, three home runs and three walks.
  • Springer ranks 21st in home runs and 74th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Springer has two straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .250 with a double, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is hitting .283 with four doubles, a home run and three walks.
  • Santiago Espinal is hitting .220 with four doubles, two home runs and four walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 16 .351 .409 .649 5 12 20
George Springer 15 .263 .317 .509 3 7 15
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 16 .283 .318 .400 1 9 17
Santiago Espinal 16 .220 .286 .420 2 8 11
Matt Chapman 16 .246 .306 .404 2 9 14

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Alex Verdugo paces the Red Sox with three long balls and runs batted in, driving in 11.
  • Verdugo ranks 21st in homers and 16th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Verdugo has collected a hit in six straight games. In his last 10 outings he is batting .286 with a double, two home runs, two walks and seven RBI.
  • Rafael Devers has put up a team-high three home runs.
  • Devers is 21st among all hitters in the majors in homers, and 46th in RBI.
  • Xander Bogaerts paces the Red Sox’s lineup with a .350 batting average.
  • Kike Hernandez is batting .180 with six doubles, a home run and eight walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Alex Verdugo 16 .291 .349 .491 3 11 16
Rafael Devers 16 .265 .286 .456 3 8 18
Xander Bogaerts 15 .350 .371 .500 1 6 21
Kiké Hernández 15 .180 .275 .328 1 6 11
J.D. Martínez 12 .268 .354 .463 1 7 11

Betting Tips for Blue Jays vs. Red Sox

After digging through all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Red Sox on the moneyline at +123. Our computer picks see the scoring going under the total of 9 runs.

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