Blue Jays vs. Mariners Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/17/2022

by | May 17, 2022

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will look to extend his 13-game hitting streak when the Toronto Blue Jays (19-17) take on the Seattle Mariners (16-20). The Blue Jays are listed as -134 favorites on the moneyline for the contest, which starts at 7:07 PM ET on Tuesday, live from Rogers Centre. Jose Berrios starts for Toronto while Logan Gilbert is Seattle’s starter for the contest.

Blue Jays vs. Mariners Spread and Betting Line

Blue Jays vs Mariners Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Blue Jays -134 +114 8.5 +100 -120 -1.5 +147 -176

Computer Predictions for Blue Jays vs. Mariners

Our computer pick: Seattle Mariners (+114) and Over (8.5)

Blue Jays vs. Mariners Game Info

  • Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: José Berríos
  • Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert
  • Game Day: Tuesday, May 17, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:07 PM ET
  • Location: Toronto, Ontario
  • Stadium: Rogers Centre

Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Matchup

Berríos Gilbert
7 GS 7
2-2 W-L 4-1
5.82 ERA 2.37
34.0 IP 38.0
11 BB 14
24 SO 42

Blue Jays Starter José Berríos

  • The Blue Jays are sending Berrios (2-2) to the mound for his eighth start of the season. He is 2-2 with a 5.82 ERA and 24 strikeouts through 34 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday against the New York Yankees, when he went 5 1/3 innings, allowing five earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • The 27-year-old has put up an ERA of 5.82, with 6.4 strikeouts per nine innings, in seven games this season. Opponents are batting .292 against him.
  • Berrios enters this game with two quality starts under his belt this season.
  • Berrios has pitched five or more innings in a game five times this season heading into this game.
  • He meets a Mariners offense that ranks 17th in the league with 141 runs while batting .231 as a squad. It has a collective .370 slugging percentage (17th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 35 home runs (12th in MLB).

Mariners Starter Logan Gilbert

  • Gilbert (4-1) will take the mound for the Mariners, his eighth start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw five innings against the Philadelphia Phillies, giving up four earned runs while allowing three hits.
  • The 25-year-old has an ERA of 2.37, a 3 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.105 in seven games this season.
  • He has started seven games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in one of them.
  • Gilbert has seven starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • The Blue Jays have scored 136 runs this season, which ranks 22nd in MLB. They have 278 hits, 13th in baseball, with 39 home runs (seventh in the league).
  • Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 25-year-old’s 2.37 ERA ranks 15th, 1.105 WHIP ranks 25th, and 9.9 K/9 ranks 13th.

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Blue Jays have been favorites in 26 games this season and won 15 (57.7%) of those contests.
  • Toronto has a record of 10-6 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -134 on the moneyline.
  • The Blue Jays have a 57.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • So far this season, Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 15 of their 36 games with a total.
  • The Blue Jays have an ATS record of 15-21-0 in 36 games with a spread this season.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Mariners have been underdogs in 25 games this season and have come away with the win nine times (36%) in those contests.
  • Seattle has a win-loss record of 3-11 when favored by +114 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 46.7% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Seattle’s games have gone over the total in 18 of their 36 opportunities.
  • The Mariners have an against the spread record of 19-17-0 in 36 games with a line this season.

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Guerrero paces the Blue Jays in home runs (seven), runs batted in (20) and has racked up a team-best batting average of .281.
  • Guerrero’s home runs rank him 19th in the majors, and he ranks 34th in RBI.
  • Guerrero carries a 13-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is hitting .270 with a home run, four walks and three RBI.
  • George Springer’s seven home runs are a team-high mark.
  • Of all major league hitters, Springer is 19th in home runs and 52nd in RBI.
  • Santiago Espinal paces the Blue Jays with a .281 batting average.
  • Espinal is on a 10-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last 10 games he is batting .364 with five doubles, four walks and four RBI.
  • Bo Bichette has seven doubles, four home runs and eight walks while hitting .247.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 35 .281 .361 .477 7 20 36
George Springer 34 .268 .331 .496 7 18 33
Santiago Espinal 36 .281 .344 .439 2 15 32
Bo Bichette 36 .247 .285 .373 4 16 37
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 35 .230 .277 .341 2 12 29

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

  • The Mariners are lead in runs batted in by Ty France with a mark of 25, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .324.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, France’s home run total is 46th and his RBI tally ranks 10th.
  • Adam Frazier is batting .270 with nine doubles, a triple, a home run and 14 walks.
  • Frazier is 234th among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 105th in RBI.
  • J.P. Crawford is hitting .311 with seven doubles, a triple, four home runs and 14 walks.
  • Jesse Winker is hitting .225 with seven doubles, two home runs and 20 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Ty France 36 .324 .401 .465 5 25 46
Adam Frazier 35 .270 .342 .372 1 14 37
J.P. Crawford 34 .311 .394 .484 4 11 38
Jesse Winker 36 .225 .327 .326 2 13 29
Eugenio Suárez 35 .206 .315 .437 7 19 26

Betting Tips for Blue Jays vs. Mariners

After taking a look at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Mariners on the moneyline at +114. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

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