Blue Jays vs. Astros Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/1/2022

by | May 2, 2022

The Toronto Blue Jays (14-8) will look to George Springer, who is coming off a two-homer game, to lead them in a matchup with the Houston Astros (11-10) Sunday at 1:37 PM ET. The Blue Jays are -152 favorites for the contest, according to bookmakers. Toronto’s Kevin Gausman gets the start, and he’ll go against Houston’s Framber Valdez.

Blue Jays vs. Astros Spread and Betting Line

Blue Jays vs Astros Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Blue Jays -152 +129 7.5 -110 -110 -1.5 +140 -165

Computer Predictions for Blue Jays vs. Astros

Our computer pick: Houston Astros (+129) and Over (7.5)

Blue Jays vs. Astros Game Info

  • Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman
  • Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: Framber Valdez
  • Game Day: Sunday, May 1, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:37 PM ET
  • Location: Toronto, Ontario
  • Stadium: Rogers Centre

Toronto Blue Jays vs Houston Astros Pitching Matchup

Gausman Valdez
4 GS 4
1-1 W-L 1-1
2.19 ERA 3.15
24.2 IP 20.0
0 BB 12
31 SO 17

Blue Jays Starter Kevin Gausman

  • Gausman makes the start for the Blue Jays, his fifth of the season. He is 1-1 with a 2.19 ERA and 31 strikeouts in 24 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander’s last time out was on Tuesday against the Boston Red Sox, when he went six innings, surrendering no earned runs while giving up four hits.
  • The 31-year-old has an ERA of 2.19, with 11.3 strikeouts per nine innings, in four games this season. Opponents have a .266 batting average against him.
  • Gausman is trying to claim his third straight quality start in this outing.
  • Gausman is looking for his fifth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.1 innings per appearance on the hill.
  • He will take the hill against an Astros offense that is hitting .214 as a unit (25th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .370 (18th in MLB) with 25 total home runs (fourth in MLB).
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 31-year-old’s 2.19 ERA ranks 19th, 1.014 WHIP ranks 27th, and 11.3 K/9 ranks 10th.

Astros Starter Framber Valdez

  • The Astros will hand the ball to Valdez (1-1) for his fifth start of the season.
  • The left-hander gave up no earned runs and allowed four hits in six innings pitched against the Texas Rangers on Tuesday.
  • The 28-year-old has pitched in four games this season with an ERA of 3.15, 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings and an opponent batting average of .222.
  • He has started four games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in two of them.
  • Valdez has two starts of five or more innings this season in four chances. He averages 5.0 innings per outing.
  • The Blue Jays rank 12th in MLB with 89 runs scored this season. They have a .248 batting average this campaign with 30 home runs (first in the league).

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Blue Jays have won 11 out of the 15 games, or 73.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Toronto is 6-2 this season when entering a game favored by -152 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Blue Jays have a 60.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Toronto’s games have gone over the total in seven of their 21 chances.
  • The Blue Jays have an ATS record of 9-12-0 in 21 games with a spread this season.

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Astros have been chosen as underdogs in seven games this year and have walked away with the win three times (42.9%) in those games.
  • Houston has played as an underdog of +129 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Astros have a 43.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Houston and their opponents have hit the over in seven of their 21 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Astros are 9-12-0 against the spread in their 21 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

  • The Blue Jays leader in both batting average and long balls is Springer, who comes into the contest hitting .300 and has left the yard six times while driving in 12 runs this season.
  • Springer ranks third in homers and 31st in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Springer brings a hitting streak of two games into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .368 with three home runs, two walks and five RBI.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s six home runs and 16 RBI are both team-highs.
  • Guerrero ranks third in home runs and sixth in RBI on the year.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is batting .288 with six doubles, two home runs and four walks.
  • Gurriel has at least one base hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with a double and a walk.
  • Santiago Espinal has six doubles, two home runs and six walks while hitting .261.
George Springer 21 .300 .360 .588 6 12 24
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 21 .286 .352 .545 6 16 22
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 22 .288 .330 .438 2 10 23
Santiago Espinal 22 .261 .325 .435 2 10 18
Matt Chapman 22 .225 .287 .425 4 12 18

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Yordan Alvarez leads the Astros with six long balls.
  • Alvarez’s home run total puts him third in the big leagues, and he ranks 31st in RBI.
  • Alvarez has collected a hit in seven straight games. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .306 with a double, three home runs, five walks and six RBI.
  • Alex Bregman is batting .233 with three doubles, four home runs and 14 walks.
  • Bregman ranks 20th overall in homers and 23rd in RBI this season.
  • Jeremy Pena is hitting .222 with three doubles, a triple, four home runs and seven walks.
  • Kyle Tucker has put up a team-leading 15 runs batted in.
Yordan Alvarez 16 .276 .373 .621 6 12 16
Alex Bregman 21 .233 .352 .438 4 13 17
Jeremy Pena 20 .222 .305 .458 4 10 16
Kyle Tucker 21 .224 .277 .408 4 15 17
Michael Brantley 17 .290 .347 .420 2 7 20

Betting Tips for Blue Jays vs. Astros

Our best bet is the Astros on the moneyline at +129 after looking at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 7.5 runs.

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