Avalanche vs. Lightning Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks – Stanley Cup Final Game 1

by | Jun 13, 2022

The Colorado Avalanche are set for Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Final Wednesday against the Tampa Bay Lightning, beginning at 8:00 PM ET. The oddsmakers have made the Avalanche solid favorites at -161 on the moneyline, and the Lightning are at +138. Find more below on the Avalanche vs. Lightning betting line, injury report, head-to-head stats, best bets and more.

Avalanche vs. Lightning Spread and Betting Line

Avalanche vs Lightning Betting Information
Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Avalanche -161 Lightning +138

Avalanche vs. Lightning Game Info

  • Game Day: Wednesday, June 15, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • Arena: Ball Arena

Computer Predictions for Avalanche vs. Lightning

Computer picks for Avalanche vs Lightning
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Avalanche (-1.5) Over (6) Avalanche 4 Lightning 2

Avalanche vs. Lightning Betting Trends

  • Through 91 games as the moneyline favorite this season, Colorado has won 67 of those games.
  • The Avalanche have won 56 of the 73 games they have played with moneyline odds shorter than -161.
  • The moneyline odds say Colorado has a 61.7% chance of winning this game.
  • Colorado Avalanche Leaders

  • Mikko Rantanen has been vital to Colorado this season, with 92 points in 75 games.
  • Nathan MacKinnon is another top contributor for Colorado with 88 points (1.4 per game), scoring 32 goals and adding 56 assists.
  • Nazem Kadri has scored 28 goals and added 59 assists through 71 games for Colorado.
  • Darcy Kuemper has a record of 37-12-4. He has allowed 138 goals (2.54 goals against average) and recorded 1616 saves.
  • Colorado Avalanche Season Stats

  • The Avalanche score the fourth-most goals in the NHL, averaging 3.8 per game for a total of 308 this season.
  • The Avalanche have given up the ninth-fewest goals in NHL play this season, 232 (2.8 per game).
  • The squad has the league’s fourth-best goal differential at +76 this season.
  • The 67 power-play goals the Avalanche have scored this season (on 278 power-play chances) lead the league.
  • The Avalanche’s offense is eighth the league with a 24.1% power-play conversion rate.
  • The Avalanche’s six shorthanded goals this season rank 17th.
  • The Avalanche kill 79.7% of their opponent’s power plays, the 15th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the NHL.
  • The Avalanche’s players win 47.3% of their faceoffs to rank 28th in the NHL.
  • The Avalanche have a 10.7% shooting percentage as a team, ranking sixth in the NHL.
  • The Avalanche’s players are still looking for their first shutout win this season. As a team, they are averaging 21.5 hits and 13.2 blocked shots per game.
  • Lightning vs. Avalanche Betting Trends

  • The Lightning have been the underdog 22 times this season, and upset their opponent in 11, or 50.0%, of those games.
  • Tampa Bay has three games this season playing as the underdog by +138 or longer, and is 2-1 in those contests.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies a 42.0% chance for the Lightning to win.
  • Tampa Bay Lightning Leaders

  • Steven Stamkos is among the top options on offense for Tampa Bay, with 106 points this season. He has recorded 42 goals and 64 assists in 81 games.
  • Victor Hedman’s 86 points this season, including 20 goals and 66 assists, make him one of the top offensive threats for Tampa Bay.
  • Nikita Kucherov has scored 25 goals and contributed 44 assists for Tampa Bay, giving him a point total of 69.
  • Tampa Bay’s Andrei Vasilevskiy is 39-18-5 this season, amassing 1712 saves and allowing 156 goals (2.5 goals against average) with a .916 save percentage (12th in the league).
  • Tampa Bay Lightning Season Stats

  • The Lightning have the league’s seventh-best scoring offense (285 total goals, 3.5 per game).
  • The Lightning have allowed 2.8 goals per game, 228 total, the sixth-fewest among league teams.
  • Their +57 goal differential is seventh-best in the league.
  • The Lightning have scored 63 power-play goals this season, which are fourth-best in the NHL (on 260 power-play chances).
  • The Lightning’s power-play conversion rate (24.2%) is seventh-best in the league.
  • The Lightning have recorded seven shorthanded goals.
  • The Lightning’s ninth-best penalty kill rate is 81.4%.
  • The Lightning win 50.1% of their faceoffs. That’s the 15th-ranked rate in the NHL.
  • The Lightning’s collective 11.3% shooting percentage ranks third in the league.
  • The Lightning have not had a shutout victory yet this season.
  • Avalanche and Lightning Injury Report

    Avalanche: Ryan Murray: Out (Hand/Wrist), Nazem Kadri: Out (Undisclosed), Samuel Girard: Out For Season (Sternum)

    Lightning: Brayden Point: Out (Leg)

    Betting Tips for Avalanche vs. Lightning

    After digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is Avalanche on the moneyline at -161 and against the spread (-1.5). Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 6 goals.

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