Astros vs. Twins Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/10/2022

by | May 9, 2022

Only one streak will continue when the Houston Astros (18-11) (seven-game win streak) and the Minnesota Twins (18-11) (three-game win streak) meet on Tuesday at 7:40 PM ET. The Astros have been set as -150 favorites by oddsmakers for the contest at Target Field. Justin Verlander takes the mound for Houston while Joe Ryan is Minnesota’s starter for the contest.

Astros vs. Twins Spread and Betting Line

Astros vs Twins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Astros -150 +130 7 +100 -120 -1.5 +115 -135

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. Twins

Our computer pick: Minnesota Twins (+130) and Under (7)

Astros vs. Twins Game Info

  • Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: Justin Verlander
  • Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Joe Ryan
  • Game Day: Tuesday, May 10, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:40 PM ET
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Stadium: Target Field

Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Pitching Matchup

Verlander Ryan
5 GS 5
3-1 W-L 3-1
1.93 ERA 1.63
32.2 IP 27.2
4 BB 7
31 SO 28

Astros Starter Justin Verlander

  • The Astros are sending Verlander (3-1) out to make his sixth start of the season. He is 3-1 with a 1.93 ERA and 31 strikeouts in 32 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His most recent appearance came on Wednesday against the Seattle Mariners, when the righty threw 6 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • The 39-year-old has an ERA of 1.93, with 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings, in five games this season. Opponents have a .171 batting average against him.
  • Verlander is trying to secure his fifth straight quality start in this outing.
  • Verlander is aiming for his sixth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.2 innings per appearance on the hill.
  • The opposing Twins offense has a collective .238 batting average, and is eighth in the league with 222 total hits and 14th in MLB action with 117 runs scored. It has the ninth-ranked slugging percentage (.390) and ranks ninth in home runs (30) in all of MLB.
  • Among pitchers who qualify in MLB play this season, the 39-year-old ranks 14th in ERA (1.93), first in WHIP (.704), and 28th in K/9 (8.5).

Twins Starter Joe Ryan

  • Ryan (3-1) will take the mound for the Twins, his sixth start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed six hits in 4 2/3 innings pitched against the Baltimore Orioles on Tuesday.
  • The 25-year-old has pitched in five games this season with an ERA of 1.63 and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .167.
  • He has started five games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in three of them.
  • In five starts this season, Ryan has lasted five or more innings three times, with an average of 5.2 innings per appearance.
  • The Astros rank 18th in MLB with 110 runs scored this season. They have a .217 batting average this campaign with 36 home runs (first in the league).

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Astros have won 15 out of the 21 games, or 71.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Houston has a record of 8-3, a 72.7% win rate, when favored by -150 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 60% chance to win.
  • Houston’s games have gone over the total in eight of their 29 chances.
  • In 29 games with a spread this season, the Astros are 14-15-0 ATS.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Twins have come away with six wins in the 11 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Minnesota has been listed as an underdog of +130 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 43.5% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 11 of their 29 opportunities.
  • The Twins have an against the spread mark of 12-17-0 in 29 games with a line this season.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Alex Bregman paces the Astros with 17 runs batted in.
  • Bregman is 28th in homers and 24th in RBI among all batters in baseball.
  • Yordan Alvarez’s eight home runs are a team-high mark.
  • Alvarez ranks third in homers in MLB, and 37th in RBI.
  • Jeremy Pena has four doubles, a triple, six home runs and seven walks while batting .242.
  • Pena is on a six-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last 10 games he is hitting .235 with a double, three home runs, a walk and eight RBI.
  • Kyle Tucker has made the most of his opportunities as he paces his team with 17 RBI.
Alex Bregman 29 .235 .342 .449 5 17 23
Yordan Alvarez 24 .256 .384 .573 8 15 21
Jeremy Pena 27 .242 .305 .495 6 15 23
Kyle Tucker 29 .238 .322 .386 4 17 24
Michael Brantley 25 .273 .327 .394 2 10 27

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Byron Buxton paces the Twins with nine long balls and runs batted in, driving in 17.
  • In all of MLB, Buxton is first in home runs and 24th in RBI.
  • Max Kepler has three doubles, five home runs and 13 walks while hitting .244.
  • Among all major league hitters, Kepler ranks 28th in home runs and 80th in RBI.
  • Jorge Polanco has collected a team-best 17 runs batted in.
  • Carlos Correa leads the Twins with a team-high batting average of .255.
Byron Buxton 19 .278 .342 .722 9 17 20
Max Kepler 28 .244 .352 .444 5 12 22
Jorge Polanco 28 .235 .331 .382 3 17 24
Carlos Correa 24 .255 .320 .372 2 11 24
Gio Urshela 26 .232 .298 .293 1 7 19

Betting Tips for Astros vs. Twins

After digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Twins on the moneyline at +130. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going under the total of 7 runs.

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