Astros vs. Tigers Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/7/2022

by | May 7, 2022

The Houston Astros (16-11) will vie for their sixth straight victory when they host the Detroit Tigers (8-17) on Saturday at 4:05 PM ET. The Astros are listed as -199 favorites by sportsbooks, while the Tigers are +169 underdogs. Houston’s Framber Valdez gets the start, and he’ll go against Detroit’s Eduardo Rodriguez.

Astros vs. Tigers Spread and Betting Line

Astros vs Tigers Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Astros -199 +169 8 -109 -111 -1.5 +107 -129

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. Tigers

Our computer pick: Detroit Tigers (+169) and Over (8)

Astros vs. Tigers Game Info

  • Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: Framber Valdez
  • Detroit Tigers probable starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez
  • Game Day: Saturday, May 7, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:05 PM ET
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Stadium: Minute Maid Park

Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers Pitching Matchup

Valdez Rodriguez
5 GS 5
1-2 W-L 0-2
3.42 ERA 5.33
26.1 IP 25.1
14 BB 8
19 SO 23

Astros Starter Framber Valdez

  • Valdez gets the start for the Astros, his sixth of the season. He is 1-2 with a 3.42 ERA and 19 strikeouts in 26 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The lefty’s last appearance was on Sunday against the Toronto Blue Jays, when he tossed 6 1/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up two hits.
  • In five games this season, the 28-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.42, with 6.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .194 against him.
  • Valdez is trying to secure his third straight quality start in this game.
  • Valdez will try to last five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 5.1 innings per outing.
  • The opposing Tigers offense has the worst slugging percentage (.310) and is last in MLB play with 11 home runs. It has a collective .222 batting average, and is 23rd in MLB with 181 total hits and 28th in MLB action scoring 76 runs.

Tigers Starter Eduardo Rodriguez

  • Rodriguez (0-2) will take to the mound for the Tigers and make his sixth start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings while giving up four earned runs on eight hits in a matchup with the Los Angeles Dodgers.
  • The 29-year-old has pitched in five games this season with an ERA of 5.33 and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .248.
  • He has two quality starts in five chances this season.
  • Rodríguez will look to pitch five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
  • The Astros rank 26th in MLB with a .220 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 12th in the league (.383) and 33 home runs.
  • Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 29-year-old’s 5.33 ERA ranks 59th, 1.303 WHIP ranks 55th, and 8.2 K/9 ranks 35th.

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Astros have won 13 out of the 19 games, or 68.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Houston has played as a favorite of -199 or more twice this season and won both games.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 66.6%.
  • Games involving Houston have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in eight of 27 chances this season.
  • The Astros are 13-14-0 against the spread in their 27 chances this season.

Tigers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Tigers have come away with six wins in the 20 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Detroit has a win-loss record of 1-4 when favored by +169 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 37.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Detroit’s games have gone over the total in nine of their 25 opportunities.
  • The Tigers are 10-15-0 against the spread in their 25 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Yordan Alvarez paces the Astros with eight home runs.
  • In all of Major League Baseball, Alvarez is third in home runs and 30th in RBI.
  • Alex Bregman’s 16 runs batted in lead his team.
  • Bregman ranks 35th in home runs and 23rd in RBI on the year.
  • Jeremy Pena has four doubles, a triple, six home runs and seven walks while hitting .233.
  • Pena is on a four-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .278 with a double, two home runs and five RBI.
  • Kyle Tucker’s 16 runs batted in are a team-high mark.
  • Tucker takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with four walks and an RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Yordan Alvarez 22 .269 .374 .603 8 15 21
Alex Bregman 27 .242 .349 .440 4 16 22
Jeremy Pena 25 .233 .300 .500 6 15 21
Kyle Tucker 27 .250 .318 .406 4 16 24
Michael Brantley 23 .280 .323 .387 2 9 26

Tigers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Austin Meadows has put up a team-high batting average of .284 while leading the Tigers in runs batted in with a mark of 11.
  • Meadows’ home run total puts him 278th in the majors, and he ranks 82nd in RBI.
  • Jeimer Candelario is batting .193 with five doubles, two home runs and six walks.
  • Candelario is currently 104th in homers and 151st in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Javier Baez has collected a team-best 11 runs batted in.
  • Robbie Grossman is batting .270 with four doubles and 12 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Austin Meadows 22 .284 .376 .370 0 11 23
Jeimer Candelario 24 .193 .253 .318 2 8 17
Javier Báez 16 .234 .279 .391 2 11 15
Robbie Grossman 22 .270 .378 .324 0 7 20
Miguel Cabrera 22 .269 .326 .333 1 7 21

Betting Tips for Astros vs. Tigers

Our best bet is the Tigers on the moneyline at +169 after taking a look at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 8 runs.

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