Astros vs. Mariners Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/2/2022

by | May 1, 2022

J.P. Crawford (10 games) will look to add to his hitting streak when the Seattle Mariners (12-10) and Houston Astros (11-11) meet Monday at 8:10 PM ET, live from Minute Maid Park. J.P. Crawford and the Mariners are listed as underdogs on the moneyline by sportsbooks (+104). Houston’s Jake Odorizzi and Seattle’s Marco Gonzales have been named the starters for this contest.

Astros vs. Mariners Spread and Betting Line

Astros vs Mariners Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Astros -124 +104 8.5 -102 -118 -1.5 +161 -189

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. Mariners

Our computer pick: Seattle Mariners (+104) and Over (8.5)

Astros vs. Mariners Game Info

  • Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: Jake Odorizzi
  • Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Marco Gonzales
  • Game Day: Monday, May 2, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Stadium: Minute Maid Park

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Matchup

Odorizzi Gonzales
4 GS 4
1-2 W-L 1-2
6.00 ERA 3.86
15.0 IP 14.0
8 BB 4
9 SO 14

Astros Starter Jake Odorizzi

  • Odorizzi (1-2) gets the starting nod for the Astros in his fifth start of the season. He has a 6.00 ERA in 15 innings pitched, with nine strikeouts.
  • His most recent time out was on Wednesday against the Texas Rangers, when the right-hander threw six innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up only one hit.
  • The 32-year-old has an ERA of 6.00, with 5.4 strikeouts per nine innings, in four games this season. Opponents have a .283 batting average against him.
  • He will face a Mariners offense that ranks fifth in the league with 102 runs while batting .238 as a squad. It has a collective .395 slugging percentage (eighth in MLB action) and has hit a total of 23 home runs (11th in MLB).
  • In 4 1/3 innings over one appearance against the Mariners this season, Odorizzi has an 8.31 ERA and a 2.538 WHIP while his opponents are batting .421.

Mariners Starter Marco Gonzales

  • Gonzales (1-2) will take to the mound for the Mariners and make his fifth start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw a third of an inning against the Tampa Bay Rays, giving up one earned run while allowing one hit.
  • The 30-year-old has an ERA of 3.86, 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings and an opponent batting average of .279 in four games this season.
  • In four starts this season, he’s earned one quality start.
  • Gonzales has made one start of five or more innings in four chances this season, and averages 3.2 frames when he pitches.
  • The Astros have scored 82 runs this season, which ranks 20th in MLB. They are batting .214 for the campaign with 25 home runs, fifth in the league.
  • This season, the left-hander has pitched against the Astros in one game, and they have gone 4-for-24 with a double and an RBI over seven innings.

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Astros have been favorites in 14 games this season and won eight (57.1%) of those contests.
  • Houston is 5-4 this season when entering a game favored by -124 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 55.4% chance of a victory for the Astros.
  • Games involving Houston have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in seven of 22 chances this season.
  • The Astros are 10-12-0 against the spread in their 22 chances this season.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Mariners have won in six, or 42.9%, of the 14 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This season, Seattle has been victorious four times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least +104 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 49% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Seattle’s games have gone over the total in 11 of their 22 opportunities.
  • The Mariners are 14-8-0 against the spread in their 22 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Yordan Alvarez has hit a team-high six home runs.
  • Alvarez’s home runs put him fifth in MLB, and he is 40th in RBI.
  • Alex Bregman has three doubles, four home runs and 14 walks while hitting .230.
  • Bregman ranks 23rd in home runs in MLB, and 27th in RBI.
  • Kyle Tucker has accumulated a team-high 15 runs batted in.
  • Kyle Tucker has at least one base hit in seven games in a row. In his last 10 games he is hitting .421 with three doubles, two home runs and 11 RBI.
  • Jeremy Pena is batting .211 with three doubles, a triple, four home runs and seven walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Yordan Alvarez 17 .258 .352 .581 6 12 16
Alex Bregman 22 .230 .348 .432 4 13 17
Kyle Tucker 22 .250 .299 .438 4 15 20
Jeremy Pena 21 .211 .291 .434 4 10 16
Michael Brantley 18 .274 .329 .397 2 7 20

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Ty France has managed a team-high five home runs and has driven in 21 runs.
  • France’s home run total puts him 14th in the majors, and he ranks second in RBI.
  • Crawford’s .372 batting average paces his team.
  • Crawford is 23rd in homers and 70th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
  • Adam Frazier is hitting .250 with five doubles, a triple and eight walks.
  • Eugenio Suarez is hitting .215 with six doubles, a triple, three home runs and 11 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Ty France 22 .333 .410 .540 5 21 29
J.P. Crawford 22 .372 .462 .628 4 10 29
Adam Frazier 22 .250 .320 .330 0 11 22
Eugenio Suárez 21 .215 .311 .430 3 11 17
Jesse Winker 22 .197 .340 .237 0 8 15

Betting Tips for Astros vs. Mariners

Our best bet is the Mariners on the moneyline at +104 after digging through all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 8.5 runs.

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