It was a pretty solid NFL Week 2 as both of our top picks paid off last week as our big prediction, Kansas City defeating Pittsburgh came to fruition as well as going with Minnesota and the 1.5 points that they received. That’s scored us 9 points last week. In our extra points, we only scored one out of three, but 10 out of 12 points is never a bad thing.
This week we come with five more predictions which we believe should do well. That starts with the Green Bay Packers visiting the Washington Redskins as well as the New England Patriots looking to rebound against the Detroit Lions.
Touchdown – Green Bay Packers vs. Washington Redskins
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Spread: Green Bay -3 (-120)
Total: Over/Under – 45.5 (-120)
The Green Bay Packers enter this contest 1-0-1, which may not seem like much of a record, but consider those games. They came back to defeat their bitter rivals, the Chicago Bears, 24-23 after trailing by 20. Then, they tied the Minnesota Vikings, a team that some think is a Super Bowl team. Plus, the Vikings have one of the best defenses in the NFL, yet the Packers scored 29 points. Pretty good for a team whose quarterback was supposed to be playing on one leg.
Washington, on the other hand, has looked mediocre, to say the least. They got drubbed by the Colts last week at home, 21-9, a loss that moved them to 1-1. The Packers are 5-2-1 against the spread in the last eight meetings in this series, and the favorite has gone 5-2-1 against the spread. Those are good odds for Green Bay, but you have to like the fact that Green Bay still looks like a playoff team, while Washington looks disappointing.
How You Score: Give the Points and Take the Packers
Field Goal –New England Patriots vs. Detroit Lions
Spread: New England– 6.5 (-105)
Total: Over/Under – 51.5 (-111)
New England got scorched by Jacksonville last week, 31-20. Now some are down on the Patriots. It’s not like Jacksonville is terrible, as they made the playoffs last season and are a team that is only looking like they will get better behind one of the toughest defenses in the NFL.
Detroit has looked like…well…Detroit early on, giving up 34 more points than they have scored this season. That has helped them to reach 0-2 after narrowly falling to the San Francisco 49ers, 30-27. Detroit should be able to score, but this is a team that is not going to stop opponents.
The Patriots are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games on the road. Detroit is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on turf, the field type they use. Plus, Bill Belichick will be facing his old defensive coordinator in Lions Head Coach Matt Patricia, and the Patriots coach loves to crush his former assistants after they leave.
How You Score: Give the Points and Expect New England to Win Big
Extra Points – Three Games You Want to Take a Look At
Seattle is favored by one against Dallas and this doesn’t make sense. Seattle is out of sync offensively, and this is no longer a playoff team defense. Meanwhile, Dallas looked a lot better after defeating the Giants last week, primarily because they were able to run the ball.
The Cowboys are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games against losing teams and are 5-2 in their last seven September games against the spread. Meanwhile, Seattle is 1-5 in their last six games ATS and are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games in September.
How You Score – Take the Point and Take the Cowboys
The Browns are favored by three against the New York Jets on Thursday night. These are traditionally sloppy games which means that defenses should have their way.
Since Cleveland has looked solid in their first two games, everyone seems to be climbing on the bandwagon of the Browns, however, here is a stat you should pay attention to. With Hue Jackson as the head coach, Cleveland has never won when they have been favored. Never! Plus, the Jets are 4-1 in their last five games on Thursday night against the spread.
How You Score – Take the Jets and the Points
The over/under for Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay on Monday is 53.5. That seems high for any Steelers game, but these are not the Steelers of yesteryear. This team could not stop a cold right now, and it is very likely that the Buccaneers should have some success. After all, they just scored 27 against the Philadelphia Eagles, who have a far superior defense.
Pittsburgh has gone over in seven of their last eight games on grass and has gone over in seven of their last nine games overall. Tampa Bay has gone over in four of their last five against teams with a losing record. Ryan Fitzgerald has looked great for Tampa Bay, throwing four touchdowns last week, and Ben Roethlisberger had 60 attempts and over 450 yards passing last Sunday. This should be an aerial show.
How You Score – Go with the Over