Date: Sunday, February 24 at 8 pm ET Live From SDCCU Stadium in San Diego
The San Antonio Commanders and the San Diego Fleet are tied in the West Division with each team having a win and a loss. These two teams met in Week 1 with the Commanders coming away with a 15-6 victory. San Antonio lost their Week 2 game against the Apollos in a thrilling 37-29 shootout while San Diego took advantage of a weak Atlanta Legends team to even up their record. San Diego’s passing game seems to have a few issues but Ja’Quan Gardner has given the Fleet a powerful running game. Gardner scampered for 104 yards on 15 carries while Terrell Watson added 49 more on 14 carries.
San Antonio’s Defense Need To Step It Up On Defense
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San Antonio’s defense looked pretty good in Week 1 against this same Fleet. However, it got badly exposed last week when it faced the high-flying Orlando Apollos. San Antonio wasn’t able to apply much pressure on Orlando’s Garrett Gilbert despite sacking him four times. This enabled Gilbert to complete 19 of 28 passes including a pair of touchdowns en route to a 393 passing yard total. The Commanders had no answer for receiver Charles Johnson who caught seven passes for a whopping 192 yards and a touchdown. They need to do a much better job in coverage.
Their rushing defense has been strong and it will need to focus on stopping Ja’Quan Gardner who is coming off a 104-yard performance in Week 2 in which he scored twice. They did a good job last week limiting Orlando to just 66 rushing yards which included a 19-yard rush by D’Ernest Brown. The Fleet ran the ball 36 times last week so the Commanders’ run defense will be tested often.
The Fleet Needs An Offensive Outburst
The Fleet were held to just six points in their season opener against San Antonio. Many expected San Diego’s offense to break out against Atlanta in Week 2 but those expectations weren’t completely met. Yes, they scored 24 points but they once again left points on the field. Asking the Fleet to score 37 points like Orlando did last week is asking too much but they need to be a lot more effective than they were against San Antonio in the first match.
Philip Nelson leads a San Diego passing game that has been quite underwhelming. He has completed just 47.5% of his passes and has yet to toss a touchdown pass to compliment the pair of interceptions he’s thrown. San Diego will rely on Ja’Quan Gardner to spark the offense. He is tied for the league lead with Zac Stacy in rushing yards with 159 and his 6.9 yards per carry is impressive. San Antonio’s rush defense didn’t get much of a test last week but it will in Week 3.
This will be San Antonio’s first road game and they are coming off an intense but disappointing loss. They have shown us that they can score but they also showed us that their defense needs a lot of work. The Fleet are 2.5 point home favorites but they need to have their best offensive performance of the season. San Antonio won the first meeting and they are in a good position to sweep the season series.
The Pick: San Antonio Commanders +2.5
One of the biggest concerns surrounding the total of 43.5 is San Diego’s ability to score. This game looks like a game that will be won on the ground with scoring being at a premium. We’ll probably see more scoring than we did in the first meeting but not enough to put the score over the total.
The Pick: Under 43.5